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This is what a study of the Germas Trias i Pujol University Hospital (Can Ruti), Badalona (Barcelona), and the Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC), whose report, dated September 2 and known this Sunday, has already been sent to the European Commission.
These research centers in the Iberian country explain that the “effect of bars and restaurants could have great repercussions on the evolution of epidemics”, where the measures are respected much less than in other circumstances, such as interpersonal safety distance and the use of a mask.
Titled ‘COVID-19 Analysis and Prediction for EU-EFTA-UK and Other Countries’, the study warns European authorities that the present moment is crucial to stop the second wave and that, otherwise, It could return to a situation similar to that of March, when the uncontrolled transmission of the coronavirus broke out.
The researchers wonder why Spain leads the number of cases in the second wave, a country with high temperatures in the summer, when more life is made outdoors, since the contagion rate is 20 times lower in this case than in spaces closed.
The key is that Spain lifted mobility restrictions, especially between provinces, before other European Union countries at a time when “the rate of positive cases could be 3 times higher than what was actually being detected” and the Social activity increased markedly, according to the researchers.
The entire country remained in a state of alarm for more than 3 months, since mid-March, with severe limitations on the movement of people, which gradually eased at the end, until it disappeared completely on the 21st.
Spain is still far apart among European countries by number of cases since the pandemic began (more than 500,000), followed by the United Kingdom (more than 340,000) and, above all, by incidence in the last 14 days per 100,000 inhabitants (216.8 infections), which places it well above France (98.2), Romania ( 69.9), Ukraine (65.7), Belgium (49.2) and the Netherlands (40.4).
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