Professor Nikolay Vitanov with a forecast of how long our health system will last – Diseases

The health system can survive until the end of October, even at these levels of infected per day and above with 500 and more than 500 new cases of coronavirus. This was said on bTV by NIGHT mathematician Prof. Nikolay Vitanov.

According to him, with more than 10,000 hospitalized there will be a lot of pressure on the system and there will be more in intensive care units, and the number of specialists is decreasing.

It does not predict school closings at the end of the first quarter, because we are far from contagious, which would lead to this strict measure. “There is a general principle that when 1% of the system fails at the same time, one has to start thinking. The system of teachers and students is – 700,000 students and about 70,000 teachers. When 1 in 100 fails simultaneously, it is say. “On average, 7,000 students are sick at the same time and 25 schools are closed at the same time, so the leadership of the Ministry of Education and Science should sit down and reconsider the situation, we are very far from this work.

Prof. Vitanov: A second wave of people infected with COVID-19 is established

However, he drew attention to the climatic conditions in autumn and winter, as well as the failure to comply with the measures, which could bring us closer to the end of the month to the bad scenario with 30 thousand patients with COVID-19.

According to him, the measures should not have relaxed so much in June.

We will say goodbye to the coronavirus, when a vaccine or an effective drug appears, until then this pandemic will creep slowly, the health system should not be overloaded so that everyone can receive medical care, added the specialist.