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“My calculation shows that This virus slowly weakens, that is, mortality decreases. That is, the later a person becomes infected, the easier it will be. So postpone the infection. “.
This is what prof. Nikolai Vitanov before the BNR.
According to currently 100 people infect another 130.
“We are not past mid-October yet and now we are almost 25,000 infected with coronavirus, that was my optimistic scenario, “he said.
In September, the mathematician warned that at the end of October in the country 30,000 people will be infected with the coronavirus.
Kunchev: We are tightening the measures as late and as smoothly as possible
Despite the sharp increase in coronavirus cases
“As for the dead, the number is really large, but my prediction on this issue was October to catch up and pass the number of 1000 people “He noticed.
Professor Vitanov recalled that October is a transitional month between the relatively low levels of people infected with Covid-19 in the summer and next winter. Morbidity levels are expected to increase in November.
“What awaits us – November will combine the virus with another flu. 1375 is today’s basic reproductive number, which is more than 1.3, and it has been that way for several days, which is not a good thing. And the best health care system cannot last more than three to four weeks of that number, Which means that the epidemic is growing rapidly and must be stopped. The way to stop it is people to implement these basic measures “emphasized the professor.
Almost 11.5% is mortality from coronavirus in hospitals in our country
613 patients out of a total of 5340 hospitalized died
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