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These two parties will compete in this election. It will resurface as the main team. But even if the NLD wins, the number of seats it will win matters. Because, without the support of the army, it will not be possible for them to take any important steps. Various groups have accused the military of indirectly supporting the USDP. As a result, they can do better in this election than last time. In this reality, no change in the constitution of Myanmar will be possible. Requires 75% support.
Therefore, Myanmar’s election is unlikely to be a qualitative change or a departure from the previous position of the ruling party. At least in the case of Aung San Suu Kyi, who has appeared at the ICJ to try to protect the military junta, it is clear that the situation is not changing.
Even then, the elections in Myanmar are something important to us in the Rohingya context. On the other hand, the new US administration is expected to focus on human rights and liberal democracy. The extreme human rights violations in Myanmar and the US position on the Rohingya could be difficult. In this case, from now on, our diplomacy will be the only hope. One of our national interests is the immediate solution to the Rohingya problem.
Dr. M Sakhawat Hossain: Elections Analyst, Former Military Officer, and Principal Investigator for SIPG (NSU)
