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Donald Trump lags behind his Democratic rival, Joe Biden, in most polls conducted so far to measure voter turnout in the November 3 elections in the United States. In the latest BBC poll from just a week ago, Trump was 8 percentage points behind his opponent.
But with the death of liberal Supreme Court Justice Ruth Beder Ginsberg on Friday, just six weeks before the election, many observers have speculated that the numbers could change dramatically. This has been said in a BBC Bangla report.
Trump’s dream of being re-elected easily six months ago thanks to job growth has turned into a nightmare due to the Kovid epidemic.
The question is, who will be the successor to the late Judge Ginsberg and when will he be replaced?
Many political observers say the Trump administration will now inevitably want the debate to continue until the election and will use it to bring back Republican supporters angered by Kovid.
The day after Judge Ginsberg’s death, President Trump announced that he would swiftly nominate a judge to fill the vacancy. He said Monday that he would announce the name of his nominee on Friday or Saturday.
Democratic candidate Joe Biden immediately protested. According to him, a new judge cannot be appointed before the elections. He said that if the president really did that, it would be an “extreme abuse of power.”
Democrats fear
The Democrats’ main fear is that President Trump will appoint a nine-member Supreme Court judge, a staunch supporter of the Conservatives and Republicans, and that this will give Republicans a long-term monopoly on the Supreme Court.
These United States judges are appointed on death row and for political considerations. As a result, the political and social opinions and the ideological position of the judges are very important. Because when it is not possible to resolve important and political issues at any stage, the decision of the Supreme Court is the last word.
So far, the nine-member court of the Supreme Court has had four “liberal” justices as opposed to five “conservative” justices. But in Judge Ginsberg’s death on Friday, that equation is five-three. Now, if President Trump appoints another hard-line pro-Republican judge, the number of conservatives will double that of three liberal justices.
As a result, there are deep fears among Democrats and liberals that future Supreme Court rulings on important social issues, such as the right to abortion, the right of immigrants, or the right to same-sex marriage, will reflect the will of the hard-line conservative part of the Republican Party. Also, many observers say Democrats have yet to speak, but fear that if the 2000 vote count dispute ends up in the Supreme Court, the verdict will not be in their favor.
What will Donald Trump do?
BBC North America correspondent Anthony Zarker says President Trump has a rare opportunity to appoint a third Supreme Court justice just 48 days before the election, and he will somehow seize that opportunity. But there is uncertainty about whether he will complete the appointment of a judge before November 3.
The BBC correspondent believes that if President Trump does not rush to appoint a judge now and loses the election, he could try to get a new judge of his choice with Republicans in the Senate before the new Congress and the new president take office. post in January.
The ideological balance of the Supreme Court will change
In the United States, the idea is strong now, and President Trump also hinted Sunday that Judge Amy Connie Barrett, known as a conservative, could be nominated. In that case, the ideological balance of the Supreme Court will shift to the conservatives in the long run.
The BBC’s Anthony Zarkar says the question of appointing a new Supreme Court justice in the 2016 election favored President Trump. Hardline evangelical Christians voted for Trump in groups, hoping the abortion law would be changed if a conservative judge arrived.
Will it be the same again? There is optimism in the Trump camp that conservative voters will be back on his side, forgetting about the Covid crisis. But many observers say liberals may now desperately try to defeat Joe Biden, fearing the Supreme Court will fall into the hands of conservatives.
Although the bench of the Supreme Court has nine members, there is no obligation in the Constitution of the United States to increase or decrease it.
However, it is unknown at this time what he will do after leaving office.
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