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Health experts predict that Kovid-19 infection could peak in the third week of this month and remain stable for the next few days. They expect the level of infection to drop significantly in late June.
To analyze the trend of epidemics in Bangladesh, a member of the team of health experts, Professor. Shah Monir Hossain said: “Analyzing the epidemic trend in Bangladesh, our team has predicted that the third week of May could be the culmination of Covid-19 infection.”
Former Director General of the Director General of Health Services (DGHS) and member of the eight-member committee. “According to their analysis, the peak period of infection will last until the first week of June before showing a downward trend,” Hossain said.
Explaining his analysis based on mathematical methods and epidemiological formulas, he said, “by the end of June (the rate of Kovid-19 infection can be expected) to drop rapidly.”
He made the comments amid fear that the situation could worsen in the country, with reports of Kovid-19 infection and daily reports of extended testing.
Echoing the committee’s forecast, current DGHS Director General Professor Abul Kalam Azad said: “The country will have to wait until the last day of June for the expected salvation.”
“By the end of June, we hope to control the coronavirus by controlling the spread of the virus,” said Azad. However, we will have to wait a little longer to get rid of the epidemic entirely. ‘
The head of the DGHS said: ‘The government has set itself the goal of analyzing 10,000 samples per day to identify Covid-19. So far, a maximum of 5.6 samples are being tested in 33 PCR labs across the country in a single day and work is underway to increase the number to increase the testing facilities.
Azad said: ‘We are collecting samples from house to house. By involving private sector organizations in this process, we will further expand the scope of sample collection and testing to confirm the presence of this deadly disease in the human body immediately.
He said that BRAC has now established four sample booths at Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University (BSMMU), three at Shaheed Suhrawardy Medical College Hospital and one at Sheikh Fazilatunnesa Mujib Memorial KPJ Specialty Hospital in Gazipur.
Azad said another NGO, JK Health Care, has set up identical posts in the capital, Dhaka and Narayanganj, to collect samples from DGHS and health workers, and trained volunteers have been instructed to collect samples in nursing homes and disabled.
“The government plans to establish the required number of posts across the country to accelerate the Covid-19 test,” he said.
What could be the reason for the increase in Covid-19 after the infection rate seems normal? When asked about this, Azad echoed the sentiments of several other health experts, saying: “He could be responsible for the massive disregard for the public’s call for caution, including relaxed closings and social distance.”
He recognized that the increase in the number of infections was “worrisome” and called for “immediate and immediate measures” to achieve an accurate measure of the disease, and called for strict government intervention to prevent the spread of the disease.
Hossain said: “Bangladesh must follow three preventive measures: people must wear masks, wash their hands, and maintain a strict physical distance.”
IEDCR adviser Mostaq Hossain said: “Although the whole of Bangladesh is at risk for Covid-19. However, infection rates remain very low in many parts of the country and we need to identify and isolate the coronavirus groups to prevent spread of the virus.
“If we manage these groups by implementing all preventive measures, the spread of the disease will gradually decrease.”
He added: ‘Due to the density of the population, it is very difficult to guarantee the physical distance between cities and surrounding areas. That is why the defense system in these areas is very fragile. ‘
He suggested strict control measures for the capital Dhaka, Narayanganj, Gazipur and Savar. Because these areas are seen as the most affected areas of Kovid-19.
“If these measures are properly implemented, you can expect relief as planned for the end of July,” Mostaq added.
