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The beginning of the third phase in the context of the beginning of direct war. In the third week of November, India twice claimed that Pakistani fighter jets violated its airspace, and on the 22nd, it shot down three Pakistani F-8 fighter jets near the border with East Pakistan. Pakistan says India has launched an all-out attack on East Pakistan. At a Washington Group meeting on this day, the CIA confirmed a massive Indian attack in East Bengal, but was unable to provide details.
The group rejected a recommendation from the US government that Yahya make political commitments without going to the United Nations.
It should be recalled that on November 24, when Prime Minister Indira Gandhi released information in the Lok Sabha that India had to retaliate against Pakistan for “self-defense”, the CIA said in an ongoing meeting that it had not been able to gather any ” visible evidence “of the attack. Detectives were ordered to present evidence within 48 hours of that day.
The Nov. 29 meeting said that it would take four to five weeks for Indian troops to intervene directly, but that it would take much longer to train freedom fighters for a sustainable resistance movement.
On December 1, the group concluded that Pakistani troops could remain in East Bengal for two to three weeks. On the other hand, India can win West Pakistan in a 30-day war. On December 3, they said, Pakistan itself had attacked India and falsely stated that they had been attacked for the first time. On December 4, the CIA said that Soviet attitudes had changed from “opposition” to “hostility.” On December 6, the CIA said that Pakistan could avoid a fall on the Western Front in just three weeks. He was preparing for what the United States would say to India and the Soviets if the Pakistani army collapsed. On December 6, the CIA said that Pakistan would not last more than 48 hours in East Bengal. The CIA was asked to present an assessment report on what might happen if East Bengal and West Pakistan became the “satellite” and “vassal” states of India, respectively. Could they have stopped him if he had stopped helping India two weeks ago? What can the United States do to protect West Pakistan?
At a high-level meeting of the United States on May 26, 1971, East Pakistan was described as “a promise of Indian politics for the first time.” According to them, that day the danger of war between India and Pakistan became clear. On December 16, the Bengalis of East Bengal emerged as an independent state, thwarting all US intelligence and speculation.