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Iran’s top nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizade, has vowed to avenge his assassination. They believe that Israel carried out the killings, but that they will retaliate “only when Iran believes the time is right.”
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has said that nothing will be done recklessly and that Iran will choose the time to exact revenge.
There is no doubt that the enemies of the country have dealt a huge and humiliating blow by attacking Iranian soil and killing such an important person. Friday’s massacre is nothing new. Iran has blamed Israel for killing four Iranian nuclear scientists in the past. The question that comes to mind is: how will Iran retaliate? When to pay
Why isn’t the Iranian president talking about revenge right now?
Iran’s military says it will retaliate with “lightning”.
University students have also taken to the streets in Tehran to exact revenge. One protester said that President Trump wanted to create a “war situation” in the last two months of his administration.
But the words of the realistic president of Iran, Hassan Rouhani, were measured and calculated. He says revenge will be taken, but it may not be right away.
“Iran will take timely action, it will not fall into the trap. They want to create chaos, but we understand what cards they have in their hands. They will not succeed.” Because Iran knows that the next president of the United States, Joe Biden, wants dialogue, not conflict. with Iran, “said President Rouhani, apparently referring to Israel.
The question is there. Why is Iran not talking about retaliation right now?
Are Israel and the United States joining a trap?
Alan Johnston, a BBC analyst and Middle East affairs editor at World Service, says the reason for the warning is that President Rouhani believes that the hardline warlords of Israel and the United States are working together to catch Iran.
“They want Iran to take a wrong step and get involved in a great conflict.”
Johnston says the final weeks of President Trump’s term are underway. At this point, President Rouhani is likely trying to avoid a major conflict. He hopes that after Trump’s departure, Joe Biden’s administration will have a relatively good time for Iran, perhaps with a contact with the United States and a chance to ease US sanctions against Iran.
Iran’s economy is in dire straits due to US sanctions.
Some people think Iran has to do something
However, some analysts believe that the pressure on Iran is increasing. Iran has vowed to retaliate after General Qasim Solaimani was killed in a US missile strike in January this year, but has yet to do so. Only after this has Iran’s desire for revenge increased after the assassination of such an important person in the nuclear program.
Political analyst Abbas Asiani says Iran may have to do something this time.
“I think Iran has no choice but to give an answer. If they don’t do something, they will risk taking further action, even conflict in the future.
Iran’s 2015 deal with world powers was aimed at keeping Iran’s uranium enrichment within bounds. But after President Trump pulled the United States out of the deal, Iran began storing and enriching uranium in violation of that limit. It may have been the reason behind the attack on Mohsen Fakhri, the head of the nuclear program, says the BBC’s Paul Adams.
He says it is a warning to the entire Iranian nuclear system.
The Middle East faces a tough challenge
The next president of the United States, Joe Biden, may want to bring Iran back to the negotiating table. But this assassination of Fakhriad has made that difficult task even more difficult.
In a Washington Post article, analyst Henry Olsen says that the nuclear deal between Iran and the superpowers under President Barack Obama in 2014 upset Saudi Arabia and the Gulf monarchies.
The reason, he says, is that Israel and the Gulf monarchies know that Iran wants to destroy them.
“Many believe that Israel already has nuclear weapons, but they and the Arab monarchies have long relied on the assurance that the United States will protect them from the Iranian threat.”
But the 2015 deal with Iran has called that guarantee into question.
“Israel believes that the agreement means that there is no guarantee that US troops will be deployed to the region in the event of a crisis,” he said. The Gulf monarchies, on the other hand, feel they need another nuclear-armed ally to take on Iran. “Olsen.
Perhaps with that calculation in mind, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain have already normalized relations with Israel. A few days ago, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu allegedly had a meeting with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman, in the presence of Donald Trump’s Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo.
In such a context, the Washington Post reported a day before that the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Qadimi is in a state of anxiety about whether there will be a conflict with Iran on Iraqi soil in the last weeks of the Trump administration.
Immediately after that, the assassination of an Iranian nuclear scientist took place – analysts are trying to understand whether the response triggered a series of events in the Middle East. Source: BBC
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