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There are thousands of reasons why Donald Trump can no longer be president of the United States. But can anyone say that for sure? Democratic candidate Joe Biden has been unable to bring the word to his mind even though he is far ahead in national polls. It is very difficult for us to make that bet there. There are numerous reasons for this. The first reason is the ‘shocked’ life of President Trump. He was a candidate; But he himself did not think that he would become president of the United States. It was one of the best surprises in the whole world. After that, in the last four years, for various reasons, no one has seen him go bankrupt under intense pressure! Has there been any change in your body language? The answer to this question is no’. Rather, he was just trying to do what he wanted to do. Right or wrong ভুল Trump did not care for these analyzes. He has developed a ring of his own. Especially those white voters who think that by 2044 they will become a minority in this country. They are the ones holding on to Donald Trump. That’s why Republicans have no shortage of supporters surrounding the president. As a result, no one is willing to say anything in advance about the results of the presidential elections.
However, the question of who will be the president of the United States has already been answered by the country’s famous historian, Professor Allen Lichtman. This time, he says, Democratic candidate Joe Biden will be president. The history professor at the American University in Washington DC has predicted the outcome of almost every election from 1974 to 2018. Except for the 2000 election, everything has been perfect. However, that year’s election was resolved by a Supreme Court ruling. Al Gore lost to Republican George W. Bush. Even after this, no one can say emphatically who will receive the victory garland around his neck. This is because there is a person named Donald Trump in this game. Who lost to Hillary Clinton by a large margin in almost every 2016 poll.
The problem is that the popular vote in American elections means that no one becomes president by winning the direct vote of the people. For this they have to win the Electoral College vote. The total number of members of the House and Senators in 50 states is 535. To this number are added the votes of three electoral colleges in Washington DC. The capital of the United States, Washington DC, is not a state. Even after this, according to the 23rd amendment to the constitution made in 1971, there are three votes in the electoral college. In total, the number of votes of the Electoral College was 537.
Whatever the population of each state, there are two senators. However, members of the House of Representatives or congressmen are based on population. As a result, there is only one member of the House in one state, much more in another state. For example, there are 53 members of the House of Representatives in California and 26 in New York, but only two senators in each state. There is a state called Wyoming, where there are two senators but only one member of the House in terms of population. The sum of the number of houses and senators is the number of voters in a state. As such, California has the highest number of polling station votes in the country with 855.
The representatives of the political parties elect the electors assigned to a state. That is, Republicans and Democrats elect their own constituents. In this case, your loyalty to the team and other issues are taken into account. That is why the popular vote does not matter. Candidates will only get all the votes in a state’s electoral college if they win the popular vote. That is, according to the rules, the candidate who wins the popular vote in a state gets all the votes from the electoral college. But no one can be president if they win the popular vote across the country. You must obtain the votes of at least 260 polling stations. And no one can guarantee it here. This is due to the state of oscillation.
According to Republican and Democratic supporters, the US states are basically divided into red and blue. Apart from these two types, there are a few more states that are known as swing states during elections. The electorate in these states is basically about the same for both parties. Voters in these states often support themselves for candidates and other reasons. According to various analyzes, the eight states that are now called Swing are Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Arizona, and North Carolina. There are a total of 125 electoral votes in these eight swing states.
However, due to these polling station votes, the votes of the famous shifting states on the battlefield became important. All of these states ultimately determine victory or defeat. It is believed that the same thing will happen again. Trump won in Florida in 2016. There are 29 electoral college votes. At the same time, Pennsylvania has 20 votes and Michigan has 18 votes. Trump also won in these two states. As a result, if Joe Biden doesn’t take over, it’s almost impossible for him to win. Although it lags behind by a large margin in national polls, the gap between the two candidates in each swing state is small. Trump is taking the lead in Florida. That said, it is very difficult to be president without winning in Florida.
President Donald Trump has led the way in the international arena with this ‘America first’ policy in mind. Lonely, but impassive. The critics never left him within the country. He is still there. He has also been the victim of impeachment. Insulting women, making unfounded comments about one’s own country’s soldiers, involving the media in the fight as “fake news”, how many things. Trump is still there. The United States has the highest number of infections and deaths from the corona epidemic in the world. It is under tremendous pressure across the country. Infected yourself. But it was not seen to collapse. I am not saying whether your decision and your work are right or wrong. I mean your determination. As a result, everyone is looking forward to what it will show this time. As a result, no one can finish the game before it is over.
The country’s economy has worked well, it has created a job market. These successes don’t seem to be enough. So before the elections, as a surprise, he made peace accords with Israel in three Muslim countries, including the United Arab Emirates. He signed a military agreement with India. Intimidated enough to China. Joe Biden’s son Hunter Biden did his best to raise the issue of the China-Ukraine transactions. More than that, he had the rare privilege of appointing a third Supreme Court justice in his own term. Judge Amy Connie Barrett is conservative and against abortion. As a result, Trump will once again gain the support of evangelical Christians for two reasons. First, the peace treaty of the Arab countries with Israel. Second, the appointment of Amy Connie Barrett. As a result, if you really get the overwhelming support of silent white voters, the account will remain unchanged.
In many ways, President Trump has been trying to disqualify Joe Biden. Advocates for your case have been working to make the actual transcript of this statement available online. It is said that telling a lie 100 times rings true. So even if Trump is wrong, his supporters think he is right. Trump insisted that Biden was a “sleepy Joe” or that he was sick, and that was a problem. He did not forget to take immediate advantage of Joe Biden’s remarks on oil and gas in the latest debate. That’s why Pennsylvania-Michigan Biden is at risk of losing. He has also spoken out against voting by mail, arguing that the system should be implemented. In this case, the door is also left open to go to the Supreme Court with the results of the vote. In fact, Trump knows how to play. He loves being in the media news all the time. Most of the news around you can be negative. But he controlled the media. Live everywhere. The media should set a regular schedule with him. Tweeted. It repeatedly led to discussions and criticism. He himself is in the discussion. As a result, it is very difficult to say with certainty about these people.
Does that mean Joe Biden will lose even more in the polls? No, not in all this time. Large numbers of people in the United States are voting in this election. Turnout in the 2016 elections was 55.6 percent. The idea is that this time there will be many more votes. This time around the early voting rate has also made history. This interest must be taken very seriously in the case of the large number of people who vote in the country even in the midst of the Crown epidemic. This is not a common symptom. Meanwhile, there is a great desire for change. It’s hard to know for sure where that public opinion will go. But in the most divided country right now, the quiet and experienced Joe Biden may be the savior. In fact, Trump’s mistakes are Biden’s strengths. Joe Biden has promised that he will establish national unity. Bring America’s leadership in the world back to the level of excellence. People can believe you. The people of the country remember the desire to see the United States as a much more united world leader. As an American, the world will view you with respect and dignity, Joe Biden may be the leader who takes the country to that stage. If that’s the case, then it should be understood that it is not always just a matter of words. People understand everything. The decision is in his hands.
Author: Kaler Kantho’s special correspondent in North America
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