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Photo: Two US presidential candidates and historian Alan Lichtman.
The winner of this year’s US presidential election will be Democratic candidate Joe Biden, and incumbent President Donald Trump will be Harbin. Such a prediction was made by the American historian Professor Alan Lichtman. He has predicted who will win every election in the United States since 1984, and his prediction has come true. In other words, he has made accurate predictions in every election since 1984.
Professor Alan Lichtman of the American University. He made the prediction in a conversation with Fox News. He predicted Joe Biden’s victory this time on the basis of the importance of the model he uses to predict the White House.
He created the model in 1981 with the Russian scientist Vladimir Kellis-Baroque, and in 1996 he published a book on the model. They have determined this model based on earthquake research. A total of 13 ‘keys’ have been used in it. These are used to predict who will win the US presidential election. Note that this model verifies all the performance of the president in power and his party. He then wondered if his team could cut tickets to the Oval Office in another round. Those 13 ‘keys’ on various topics. These include scandals, party control in the House of Representatives, the country’s economic situation, social unrest, military / foreign successes and failures, charisma, and more. Professor Lechtmann said that the party that gets 8 ‘keys’ or more than 13 ‘keys’ is more likely to win the election.
Previously, Professor Lichtman had made a successful prediction in the 2016 election. His predictions did not escape the attention of President Trump. Trump then thanked Lichtman for a report that made such a prediction in the Washington Post. But Trump is not as strong as he used to be in this election.
“Trump is in power now,” Lichtman told Fox News. 7 ‘keys’ went against him. On the other hand, in 2016, I had 8 ‘keys’. In Lichtman’s words, my prediction is that Trump will lose the election as the first sitting president since George HW Bush in 1992. The next president of the United States will be Joe Biden.
It’s worth mentioning that various events in 2020 have left President Trump far behind. Before, there were only four ‘keys’ or factors against it. But the corona virus epidemic and the resulting economic crisis have shuffled all the results. Added to this is the widespread public outcry over the death of George Floyd, a young black man in Minneapolis.
Source: Jerusalem Post.
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