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Is China preparing to launch an operation to occupy Taiwan? This question is hotly debated in many Chinese forums. The Taiwan issue could be the biggest geopolitical headache for anyone who wins the US presidential election.
Chinese President Xi Jinping visited a People’s Liberation Army (PLA) base in southern Guangdong province on October 13. In his speech there, he asked the Marines to prepare for war. Then there was a hint in the headlines of many newspapers that China’s campaign against Taiwan was imminent.
But it’s safe to say that this didn’t happen suddenly. But there are reasons why Chinese experts are in such urgent discussions about the future of Taiwan.
However, the standoff between China and the United States over Taiwan was long overdue. China claims that the country of 23 million people is an integral part of them.
But Washington believes that the prolonged separation between China and Taiwan must be resolved peacefully. The stalemate between China and the United States over Taiwan has been going on for decades. But it seems that this stalemate is about to be broken.
There are a number of reasons why the current stalemate on the Taiwan issue does not seem to last. The first reason is Xi Jinping. But Steve Sang, a professor at the China Institute of Oriental and African Studies in London, said: “Jinping wants to take back Taiwan, and Xi Jinping wants to take back Taiwan, before handing over power to whoever is China’s next leader.”
Xi Jinping, a China military analyst at Stanford University in the United States, said he feared for his life when he lifted the 2016 presidential term and became president for life. Suddenly, what he was saying about Taiwan had a completely different meaning. When you want to solve this problem but now as a leader you get involved in the question of the legitimacy and validity of the term.
According to Professor Steve Sang, Xi Jinping is considered a great historical figure. He feels that it is his responsibility to do what many previous Chinese leaders, beginning with Mao Zedong, have failed to do. You have to do it.
He said that Deng Xiaoping could not bring Taiwan back. Even Chairman Mao couldn’t. Now, if Xinjiang can bring Taiwan to China, it will not only be a bigger leader than Deng Xiaoping, it will be a bigger leader than Chairman Mao.
Xi Jinping has previously said publicly that uniting Taiwan with China is an inevitable step to rejuvenate the Chinese people. President Xi Jinping is speaking of a massive revival of the Chinese people. The deadline for that plan is 2049. That year is actually the centenary of the Chinese Communist Revolution. But it is still 30 years late.
This test failed.
China has taken this opportunity to seize control of the Scarborough archipelago in the South China Sea off the coast of the Philippines. The United States has done nothing more than build artificial islands in the South China Sea. He described what happened on Scarborough Island from April to June 2012 as a major failure of America’s foreign policy.
“I would say that these incidents on Scarborough Island after helicopters flew off the roof of our embassy building in Saigon in 1985 are in fact the biggest failure of US foreign policy in Asia,” he added. In 1975, the United States rescued its embassy staff and their families by helicopter in Saigon. This marked the end of the Vietnam War.
Captain Fannell said: ‘This incident was a great disaster. This incident has seriously weakened the credibility of the United States in Asia. So we did nothing to protect the Philippines. China wants to take back Taiwan because it sees it as an isolated part of its country. But that is not the only reason. If Taiwan is under Chinese control, it will increase China’s range of power.
In the words of US General Douglas MacArthur, Taiwan would then become an aircraft carrier for China in the Pacific that could never sink.
“If China wins the war with Taiwan, it will completely change the strategic map of Asia,” said Oriana Skyler Maestro. If China wins a war with Taiwan and wins, it will not only link Taiwan with China, but it will also end the role that the United States now plays in Asia. So from China’s point of view, they can reap a lot of benefits here. “
In Washington, both Republicans and Democrats now widely acknowledge that the threat to Taiwan is growing. The Trump administration recently approved a multi-million dollar arms deal with Taiwan. These include sophisticated surface-to-air missiles. This is the first time that Taiwan has received such weapons.
But it is not yet clear what the United States will do if they attack Taiwan.
Captain Fannell said: ‘Such a vague position is a great mistake. We know from history how the lack of such support for the Kuwait government sent a message to Saddam Hussein that he could do whatever he wanted with Kuwait. We know how the same message got to China and Russia during the Korean War that the Korean peninsula could be attacked. If we don’t say clearly who our allies are and how far we will go to protect them, we will put them at risk. ‘
But Professor Sang says there is much to learn from Xin Jinping’s lessons from these past wars. However, the United States eventually came out in support of South Korea. He advanced with the help of Kuwait.
He said China should not underestimate its resolve by provoking the US military. However, the United States Army is determined to continue the fight. If the Chinese take that into account, they will be a little more careful in their calculations. And this will reduce the risk of miscalculations.
Relations between the United States and China are at their worst since the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre. Anger over Covid-19, suspicions of a trade war, the Huawei investigation, the closure of each other’s consulates and the expulsion of journalists have added to the bitterness between the two countries. But there are many on both sides who urge the next president of the United States to avoid this animosity. Re-negotiate with China. But most experts say old-fashioned conversations haven’t produced many results.
According to them, the president of the new United States will have to think of a new kind of strategy. It has to be much more frank and much stronger. The United States needs to clarify its obligations and attitudes towards Taiwan and its other allies in Asia.
Source: BBC
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