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US presidential election on November 3. Preliminary polls suggest that Democrat Joe Biden is ahead. American political observers say that Republican candidate Donald Trump’s defeat this time is due to his inability to cope with the Corona situation.
The Nat Silver Five Thirty.com blog about the US elections recently published the results of a poll. Biden has a 7 percent chance of winning. And in the HQ poll, the veteran politician has a 73.5 percent chance of winning.
If the poll results are true, Biden will be the next president of the most powerful country in the world. At the same time, the survey results recall the events of the last elections. There was no poll at the time in which then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton was left behind. But everything changes with the vote. Trump became president of the United States after winning a landslide victory against Hillary.
Will Trump repeat the previous elections? Yes, if the Republican leader takes office again as president of the United States in January, there could be five reasons behind the victory. The British media BBC reported this information.
No new flashes from October
Four years ago, 11 days before the last election, James Connie, director of the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), made serious accusations against the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. The FBI has launched an investigation into allegations that Hillary used a private email server while she was secretary of state.
Any such incident could save Trump from losing the election this time around, the BBC reported. However, so far not much has happened. Trump is embarrassed by the news of not paying the opposite tax.
If you can get it right in the final debate
Everyone says that President Trump did not do well in the first debate. Women living in suburban areas of the United States are said to play an important role in this election. In that case, Trump’s arrogant behavior in the debate will not please those women.
Still, if Trump can do a great job in the third and final debate on October 22, then his turn may come. Meanwhile, the second debate has been canceled.
If the surveys are wrong
Since Biden’s bid for Democrats was confirmed, US national opinion groups have put him ahead of Trump. Biden is being pushed forward, even in states where there is fierce fighting. The results of these polls are being taken into account in public opinion, although voter turnout in presidential elections does not determine everything. These polls can also turn out to be wrong going to the polls.
The result of a shaky state vote
Despite falling behind in early polls, if Trump can do better in competitive states, the results could change. Trump last won by a narrow margin in Michigan and Wisconsin. The poll says that Trump’s position in these two states is not good. In states like Pennsylvania and Florida, Trump may try to make up for the loss by leading the electoral vote. Trump’s position on the Electoral College vote is considered slightly better than the people’s vote.
To take over the White House, he must get 260 out of 538 electoral votes. However, if both win 279 electoral votes, the House of Representatives is responsible for the decision. Naturally, Trump is expected to benefit there.
Biden ruined the campaign
So far, Joe Biden has been doing a good campaign. But if the coronavirus outbreak or any other reason makes this Democratic candidate confused at the last minute, then Poibarro could be Trump.
Biden is already very anti-propaganda. Suddenly there is a tendency to make big wrong decisions, people who avoid those places can get into trouble. Biden sits on the end of a stump that doesn’t push him back! Although Biden is still campaigning sincerely. Of course, they have to race against the times in the last half.
However, as a result of the ongoing election campaign, Biden seems to be very tired lately due to his age. Due to his age, the question has already begun to arise as to whether he has the physical capacity as president.
On the other hand, this possibility is not in Trump’s field. In addition to being in power, they are campaigning in full force with all the advantages of the White House. If there is a problem in Biden’s field at the last minute, Trump can move it forward.
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