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Online May 5, 2020, Tuesday, 9:41 AM
The first coronavirus patient was identified in Bangladesh 58 days ago. Today (Monday), according to information provided by the Health Department, the total number of identified patients amounts to tens of thousands.
The number of newly identified patients in the last 24 hours is 6, which is the largest number of patients identified in a single day so far.
Professor Nazrul Islam, the leading virologist in Bangladesh, told BBC Bangla that a chart showing the pattern of coronavirus epidemics in Bangladesh showed that 492 people had been identified on April 20. Then the daily attack rate fluctuated and has now reached 600.
“Sometimes this number was in the 500, now it is in the 600. This curve increases day by day. 55% of all infected people are in Dhaka city. And 6% of all infected people are in the Dhaka Division “.
He says he feels the infection is not being properly controlled, especially in Dhaka.
“The infection increases slowly, there are no symptoms that suddenly decrease,” says Professor Islam.
He says the garments were opened on April 26 and the impact will be “we will start receiving them from May 12.”
The initiative being taken to reopen the stores after being closed for so long, Professor Islam believes that this graph will increase further due to its influence. When will this fear subside?
The people of Bangladesh, like the rest of the world, are anxiously waiting to see when they will free themselves from this fear.
Professor Islam thinks that if the infection continues, there is no choice but to wait until “tough immunity” arrives.
“Immunity lasts, which means that some people will die, and many people will become immune (naturally resistant to the virus).”
He thinks that only if the human body develops sufficient immunity against this virus, the risk of transmission of this virus will disappear. However, he cautioned that there are reasons to be careful.
“If this virus mutates (changes behavior) in it, it may not, because mutating it will make it a new virus.”
“In that case, it is not known if the development of the vaccine that we are doing now will be useful again,” explained Professor Islam. Applying the vaccine means artificially increasing human immunity.
However, if someone is infected with the coronavirus, their bodies will develop immunity to the virus in the normal way, he says.
‘We have no weapon but immunity’
According to him, Bangladesh has to depend on immunity to fight this virus. Because it says that it is not possible to impose a high-quality blockade on Bangladesh.
“We have tried for a month. I cannot. Everyone has tried. The police have tried, the army has tried, the volunteers have tried. We cannot.”
He says the only way to deal with the disease in Bangladesh is to create immunity among people, and the government may have to accept that. Professor Islam said that Bangladesh cannot implement the blockade in the same way that authorities can implement it in the United States or Italy.
“If you think about the behavior patterns of people in Bangladesh and the capacity of the Bangladeshi government, I don’t think the Bangladeshi government can really lock up those people.”
Meanwhile, the Bangladeshi government today extended the “general holiday” for the sixth time to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. The Cabinet Division and the Ministry of Public Administration have issued two separate notifications.
The Cabinet Division, titled “Conditional General License or Extension of Movement Prohibition,” said the prohibition on public movement was extended until May 14.
At this time, movement from one district and upazila to another district and upazila will be strictly controlled. All public transportation between districts will be closed. Both circulars indicate that you cannot leave the workplace during the Eid-ul-Fitr vacation.
District administration and law enforcement are said to be enforcing control. Professor Islam says the government is certainly trying, but believes that “there is a threshold to the government’s ability to do more.”
He says that is why the infection rate increases day by day, although the growth rate is low, but he says that the infection rate on the graph is not reaching a stable level or that the infection on the graph does not seem have reached a parallel line.
Professor Islam says that after opening the garments and opening the stores, only by looking at the situation since May 12 can you understand if the graph has reached a parallel line and if there is any indication to descend from there.
“That will be our final situation. So we have nothing to do. If the graph continues to fluctuate, we have no choice but to have ‘tough immunity’, unless there is a vaccine,” one of Bangladesh’s leading virologists told BBC Bangla. . Professor Nazrul Islam.
Source: BBC Bangla
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