With Ethiopia on the brink of growth, diplomacy in doubt


Nairobi, Kenya – An alarm was sounded on Tuesday over Ethiopia’s imminent tank attack on the capital of the criminal Tigris region and its population of half a million people, when the UN Security Council met amid warnings of a meeting for the first time on a three-week-old conflict. The region is running out of food.

Prime Minister Abi Ahmed’s 72-hour ultimatum for the region’s leaders to surrender ends on Wednesday. His army has warned civilians that they will not withdraw in time if “no mercy is shown” – which some rights groups and diplomats say could violate international law.

“Extremely aggressive rhetoric on both sides in the fight for Michelle is dangerously provocative and puts the vulnerable and terrified civilians in grave danger,” said Michelle Bachelet, head of human rights at the United Nations. Allegations of Tigre leaders hiding among civilians “then the Ethiopian state does not respond to Carte Blanche for responding with the use of artillery in densely populated areas.”

A year before taking power in Ethiopia and bringing reforms to win the Nobel Peace Prize, Abi successfully defended his PhD thesis in conflict resolution. He now sits in the African Union, the African capital, and rejects calls to negotiate.

Meanwhile, a powerful voice in diplomatic efforts, the United States, has panicked as the Trump administration focuses on internal politics since losing the November election – and President Donald Trump has angered Ethiopia with comments on a different issue this year.

The diplomatic vacuum has brought Ethiopia, one of Ephesia’s most powerful and populous countries, to what Amnesty International calls the “edge of deadly growth”.

Tigre refugees aboard a boat on the banks of the Taekwondo River on the Sudan-Ethiopia border on Saturday in Hamdayat, East Sudan.  The UN refugee agency says thousands have fled the Tigris region to Sudan as a result of Ethiopia's escalating conflict, fighting beyond the borders of history and threatening to revolt in the Horn of Africa.  (AP Photo / Nariman Al-Mofty)

Tigre refugees aboard a boat on the banks of the Tekze River on the Sudan-Ethiopia border on Saturday, in Hamdayat, East Sudan. The UN refugee agency says thousands have fled the Tigris region to Sudan as a result of Ethiopia’s escalating conflict, fighting beyond the borders of history and threatening to revolt in the Horn of Africa. (AP Photo / Nariman Al-Mofty)

Shortly before the attack on McCall, the UN Security Council met behind closed doors on Tuesday to discuss the situation in Ethiopia for the first time. Members expressed support for the new EU-led envoy efforts, a council diplomat said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss the talks.

Over the weekend, the current AU president, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, backed the three high-level envoys, the UN chief, quickly praised “efforts to resolve the conflict peacefully”.

But in an unusually public disagreement, Ethiopia said the ambassadors would meet not with Tiberias leaders but with Abijah.

“All possible scenarios will be on the table to talk about, except to bring the gang to the table as a legitimate entity,” Redwan Hussein, a senior Ethiopian official, told reporters. Abiya’s government insists that the leaders of the Tigre People’s Liberation Front are fugitive criminals.

Written in foreign policy, former Prime Minister Hailemariam Desaleg has warned international brokers against “superficial dialogues” that could compensate TPLF leaders with punishment and make other rival ethnic groups think “violence is paid.”

The TPLF has dominated Ethiopia’s government for more than a quarter of a century, but was sidelined after Abi took power in 2018 and sought to centralize power in a long-ruled ethnic group. TPLF Abi angered the federal government by holding elections in September after national elections were postponed by COVID-19 when the ruling coalition disbanded. Now each side considers the other illegal.

Meanwhile, if thousands were not killed, about 40,000 people have fled to Sudan and the UN says 2 million people in the sealed Tigris region need immediate assistance. That number has doubled in three weeks.

There is no humanitarian corridor, no humanitarian ceasefire. No food or fuel will be available soon.

“We have not been able to send any supplies since the beginning of the conflict, and this is due to the obstruction of all parties,” UN humanitarian spokeswoman Saviano Abre told the Associated Press. He said there is a week of food left for about 100,000 Eritrean refugees inside Tigre, and fuel will run out to pump clean drinking water in hours.

“The Tigers are terrified,” he said.

With the eruption of the crisis, some top American diplomats for Africa, terrified to hear Tibor Nagy, reiterated Washington’s stance that the TPLF was to blame for Abyss’s ouster – and yet insisted that the U.S. Also there was some information from inside the Tigre region. Communication broke down.

The U.S. stance is significantly different from other high-profile petitions, urging both parties to immediate de-escalation without assigning faults.

Mediation is “not a goal in itself. I mean, our goal is a quick end to the conflict, “Nagy told reporters last weekend. Michael Renoir, the U.S. ambassador to Ethiopia, added that in his discussions with Abi and Tigre leader Debrecen Gabremichael, “there was a strong commitment on both sides to watch the military conflict.”

Warned, about 20 U.S. senators have urged Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to stop directly abiding before it is too late.

Tigre refugees fleeing fighting in Ethiopia's Tigre have arrived with their donkeys on the banks of the Taekwondo River on the Sudan-Ethiopia border in Hamdayat, East Sudan.  (AP Photo / Nariman Al-Mofty)

Tigre refugees fleeing fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigre have arrived with their donkeys on the banks of the Taekwondo River on the Sudan-Ethiopia border in Hamdayat, East Sudan. (AP Photo / Nariman Al-Mofty)

Cameron Hudson, a former director of African affairs at the National Security Council and a senior ally of the Atlantic Council think tank, told the AP that he realized the US was not the target. “You’ll have to take extra steps when you don’t go far enough.”

The U.S. stance does not appear to have any “confidence but verification of elements”, Hudson added.

U.S. in neighboring Jijuti. “We have the largest drone base in Africa,” he said, referring to the military base. Its use against al-Shabab extremists in Somalia “is not so intense at this stage that we will not be able to save some of the assets in that theater until we decide what is going on inside Tigre … for us.”

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Hudson said the State Department appears to be trying to restore U.S. credibility with Abby, and “significant damage” to Trump’s campaign to punish Ethiopia for its stance in the dispute with Egypt over the construction of a huge dam on the Blue Nile. Had fallen. . In a rare intervention on the African issue, Trump called on the State Department to suspend millions of dollars in aid to Ethiopia and insisted that Egypt would “blow up” the dam.

There are now signs that others in the Trump administration are quicker and faster for dialogue. The National Security Council tweeted overnight: “The United States calls for moderation in Ethiopia and now supports the efforts of Cyril Ramaphosa and the African Union leadership to end this tragic conflict.”

President-elect Joe Biden’s candidate for secretary of state, Anthony Blink, last week urged the TPLF and Ethiopian authorities to take “urgent action” to end the conflict. His office fee said he was not available for comment.

But where will Ethiopia be until Biden takes office two months from now?