What shows the guilty plea in Russian sin today (and what it does not)


Of John Durham, the U.S. attorney in Connecticut, tasked by Attorney General William Barr with overseeing the probe, Trump said Thursday: “I hope he does a great job. And I hope they will not be politically correct and I hope they do something – because the fact that President Obama knew everything, Vice President Biden knew, as stupid as he can be, he knew everything and everyone else knew everything. “

Trump went on to call the alleged misdemeanor of the FBI investigation the “greatest political crime in the history of our country.”

On Friday, we got this first bit of news from the Durham probe: former FBI attorney Kevin Clinesmith has pleaded guilty to one count of making a false statement – by changing an email sent to another official who it, like Clinesmith, was involved in overseeing the oversight of former Trump foreign policy adviser Carter Page. Clinesmith changed the email to indicate that Page had not been a government source in the past, a mistake his lawyer made in a statement was a simple mistake with no malicious intent. (Clinesmith had also been critical of Trump during his time with the FBI.)

“Kevin deeply regrets that he changed the email,” Clinesmith’s attorney, Justin Shur, said in a statement Friday. “It was never his intention to mislead the court or his colleagues because he believed the information he passed on was accurate. But Kevin understood what he was doing wrong and accepted responsibility.”

His expected plea comes after the FBI acknowledged in January that two of the four Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) warrants it presented to a court that approved (and re-approved) Page’s oversight.

This is, in a word, bad. FISA warrants are a very big deal and should be considered very carefully as they allow the government to investigate a US citizen. That there were errors in this process that led to at least one guilty plea from someone involved in the trial reflects poorly on the bureau. Period.

Informed about the news Friday, Trump said this at the White House:

“That’s just the beginning … what happened should never happen again. He pleads guilty, terrible thing, terrible thing. The fact is, they spied on my campaign and they were caught and you will hear more.”

Which, well, part is unknowable and part just not true.

Let us first take the wrong part.

There is zero evidence that the FBI “spied” on Trump’s campaign or, as he has repeatedly stated in recent years, that then-President Barack Obama orchestrated some massive surveillance efforts of his 2016 campaign.

According to the Inspector General of Justice Department, that is not good. The IG report released in December 2019 made it clear that there was no “documentary as witness evidence that political bias influenced wrongdoing” that influenced the opening of the counterintelligence probe. It also found that the “FBI did not attempt to recruit members of the Trump campaign as [Confidential Human Sources], did not send CHSs to gather information at Trump campaign headquarters or Trump campaign spaces, nor did they ask CHSs to participate in the Trump campaign or otherwise attend campaign-related events as part of the investigation. “(The IG report the find 17 “significant errors or omissions” in the manner in which the FISA Page Warranty Application was submitted.)

Now to the unconscious part.

When Trump says that the Clinesmith plea “is just the beginning and” you will hear more “, he is simply saying things. He is convinced that this was some kind of broad-based conspiracy against him (although, again, there is no proof of it) and so he fictitious it until he (hopes) he makes it.

He tries to work the refs here too, which is inconvenient because the refs are the department of justice and his head: Barr.

“But I’m going to tell you, Bill Barr and Durham have a chance to be – Bill Barr has a chance to be the greatest of all time, but if he wants to be politically correct, he’s just going to be a different man, because ‘ he knows all the answers, “Trump told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo on Thursday, adding,” He knows what they have, and it’s going straight to Obama and it’s going straight to Biden. They had the meetings, and that was one meeting. which they caught him. “

Again, there is no evidence to suggest that Obama directed any kind of espionage. And no matter what Trump wants to be true, Clinesmith’s plea does not prove it either.

What it does prove – especially when you consider the mistakes made by the FBI and the findings by the IG regarding the FISA applications – is that there were significant twists and turns in the way the FBI went about making the matter that it is necessary to examine Page as long as it did. And that, in Clinsemith’s case, a crime was committed in connection with these FISA applications – whether he intended to or not.

What it does not prove is that the savagery of Trump claims that there is a “deep state” conspiracy that tried to keep him from being elected and has been working against him since he took office. The facts just aren’t there.

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