Twenty-six years after Bahri welcomed the Israeli delegation for the first time, Small gulf archipelago Last week Became a sophisticated Arab country to agree to normalize its relations with Israel.
That came as no surprise. Since US President Donald Trump announced on August 13 that the United Arab Emirates and Israel have agreed to establish diplomatic relations, there has been speculation that Bahrain will be the next one.
Despite Bahrain Announcement Last month that he was committed to the creation of a Palestinian state, the island state would always follow the UAE’s claim “once the taboo is broken”, Ian Blake, a senior colleague at the London School of Middle East Center, visited. Economics, said Al Jazeera.
Bahrain, the home of the US Navy’s regional headquarters and connected by a 25-kilometer (16-mile) causeway from Saudi Arabia, will be less hesitant to reveal its relations with Bahrain Israel.
In February 2017, King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa met with Jewish leaders in the United States and reportedly protested the boycott of Israel by Arab countries. After that year, the government backed this Bahrain International group The outrage spread among Palestinians when he visited Israel just days after Trump announced his controversial decision to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and move US embassies there.
Friday was a deal with Israel The Palestinians have undermined their efforts to gain more self-determination by denouncing it as another betrayal by the Arab state and viewing Iran as an abuse under the new framework of regional “peace” proposed by the Trump administration.
Blake said there was no doubt that this was a serious blow to the Palestinians – and a vague implication that their cause was no longer a priority for Arab rule.
The Palestinian leadership wants an independent state based on the de facto borders before the 1967 war, in which Israel occupied and annexed the West Bank and Gaza Strip. East Jerusalem. Arab countries have long demanded it Withdrawal of Israel from already illegally occupied land, a just solution for Palestinian refugees and a settlement that leads to the establishment of a viable, independent Palestinian state in exchange for establishing relations with it.
‘Saudi influence’
Regional heavyweights and Iran’s reckless Saudi Arabia have so far signaled that they are not ready to take the same step themselves, with analysts saying recent deals would not have happened without its support.
Accordingly, Bahrain’s political agenda is “determined by Saudi Arabia.” Fatafa kills policy member with Palestinian policy network Al-Shabaka.
In late 2018, Just months before Manma agreed to host a U.S.-led conference to unveil the economic part of Trump’s so-called Middle East plan, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait provided સહાય 10 billion in financial aid to stabilize its finances.
In addition to being “economically dependent on its neighbors”, Bahrain’s new alliance with Israel will help it enter power and “crush any resistance to dictatorship or efforts toward independence and democracy,” Fatafa said.
In 2011, during the start of the Arab Spring uprising, Saudi Arabia sent Baurian troops to quell anti-government protests. Rally against the King of Bahrain Those slogans were from the majority Shia population of many countries who have long complained of oppression.
Therefore, the U.S. Joining a bandwagon led by Bahiri could also provide “constant defense against its own people”. Mouin Rabbani, co-editor of Jadalia Prakashan.
By normalizing relations with Israel, Bahrain is ensuring that it has found allies who are equal He is committed to maintaining the status quo and preventing the success of any popular uprising, “he said.
On Sunday, Bahrain’s top Shiite leader, Ayatollah Sheikh Isa Qasim, who lives abroad, rejected recent normalization deals with Israel and called on the people of the region to resist.
It has been argued that Bahrain is a Gulf monarchy with “the most differences with its own people”. Rabbani.
‘Common Geopolitical Interests’
Strengthening stability means breaking the silence of analysts like other key players in the region, such as the Shia clerk state of Iran, and even Turkey.
Rabbani said the US and Israel have launched a comprehensive campaign to move the Palestinian question away from the international and regional agenda and to change the Arab-Israeli conflict to the Arab-Iranian conflict.
At the time of the regional upheaval, these Gulf states were driven by a desire to strengthen their ties with ” Washington Washington, “he added.
Blake said Bahrain was more concerned with “pleasing Washington”, but noted that mutual animosity towards Iran was a key part of the alliance.
Fatafta also believes that participating in a team comes with “common geographical interests”.
““Iran,” she said, “they found a strong ally in Israel against their number one enemy.”
For some of these states, the Iranian “threat” has increased in recent years, perhaps in neighboring Yemen, as well as in Syria and Lebanon – which borders Israel.
In Yemen, Saudi Arabia has been embroiled in a war against the Iranian coalition Huthi rebels since March 2015, while the pro-Shiite Lebanese group Hezbollah in Syria has been fighting in support of the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad – a staunch ally.
Saudi Arabia, which said earlier this month that it would allow all flights between the UAE and Israel to cross its airspace, is the key to determining which countries could follow in the footsteps of Bahrain and the UAE.
“One needs to differentiate between different Gulf states,” Blake said. “Qatar and Kuwait are unlikely to follow the example of the emirate.” The key is Saudi Arabia, which has reiterated its commitment to the Arab Peace Initiative, “he said, referring to the 2002 plan and the Arab countries’ conditions for normalizing relations with Israel.
“But that may change in the future,” Blake said.
Claiming PLO again
Signing ceremony for the deal between Israel and Bahrain and the UAE, j Will normalize diplomatic, trade, security and other relations, It is expected to take place in Washington DC on Tuesday.
The US, Bahrain and Israel said in a joint statement last week that opening up direct dialogue and relations between these two dynamic societies and advanced economies would continue the positive change in the Middle East and increase stability, security and prosperity in the region.
Now, it seems unlikely that the long-stalled talks between Israel and the Palestinian leadership will resume under the framework of the US broker Oslo Accord, which was signed between Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) in the 1990s.
While Oslo did little to help the Palestinians, Israel and Washington have extended their control over the occupied Palestinian territories with the support of Washington. Earlier this year, Trump’s so-called Middle East plan gave green light to Israel’s annexation of the occupied West Bank, including illegal settlements and the occupied Jordan Valley, and gave Israel a permanent eastern border with the Jordan River.
“If a systematic bipartisan settlement is no longer on the regional and international agenda, then there is no other viable way to end the business,” Blake said.
Fatafta agreed that the post-Oslo diplomacy taken by Palestinian leaders had failed and said that the Palestinians must reclaim the PLO if they were to achieve self-determination.
Rabbani also said that “there will be no change unless there is a comprehensive restructuring and reconstruction of the national movement based on the constitutions and relations developed on the basis of the Oslo Accords.”
“It’s a long order, not impossible, but will never happen until the current leadership passes or is pushed out of the scene.”
.
