A surge of cases at a hospital in Southern California has led to the possibility of rationing a limited number of ICU beds and treatment devices, meaning healthcare providers can make decisions about who gets treatment and who doesn’t, says infectious disease specialist Dr. Kimberly Shriner told CNN on Sunday.
Srinagar said the Huntington Memorial Hospital in Pasadena is preparing for an “ultimate trial” if cases continue to rise in the coming weeks.
And with the waves of holiday travel, health experts expect the case to only grow. More than 1.1 million people were screened at the airport on Saturday, according to the TSA. More than 16,100,000 were screened on Christmas Day alone, and hundreds of thousands traveled during the holidays.
Dr. Anthony Fawcett described the holiday season’s potential effects as “increasing the boom”.
“If you look at the opera, the line of cases we’ve experienced late fall and early winter, it’s really very disturbing,” Fawcett said.
“As we go into the next few weeks,” he added, “it could get really bad.” “
Complexity at each step for vaccine delivery
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, about 2 million Covid-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the U.S., and more than 9.5 million doses have been distributed.
Asked about the apparent slow rollout of vaccines, Fawcett told CNN on Sunday that large, comprehensive vaccine programs with the new vaccine begin to slow down before gaining momentum.
“I am confident that as we transition from December to January and then from February to March as we gain more and more momentum, I believe we will meet with this launch,” he said.
Dr. Esther Chu, a professor of emergency medicine at the University of Oregon Health and Science, explained that vaccine delivery is just a very complex thing.
“At every step, there are complexities and delays, whether it’s individual state planning, allocation, training, vaccine collection, storage … at this stage there are a lot of factors.”
“We need to be prepared for the fact that it is slowing down in many places and it will not change our behavior or change the course of the epidemic in this country in the short term,” Chu said.
Since vaccines are not widely available until the summer, many experts warn Americans not to leave their bodyguards and continue to wear masks as soon as vaccinations begin, to keep social distance, to avoid crowds and gatherings, and to wash their hands regularly.
Moving targets for herd immunity
The vaccine is needed to capture the animal’s immunity to the virus, and 85% of the population will have to be immunized against the virus, Fines said on Sunday.
Fawcett admitted the statement was moving goalposts, which he had previously set at 70 to 75%.
“We have to understand that we have to be humble and take care of what we don’t know,” he said. “This is a pure estimate and the calculations I’ve done, 70 to 75%, are a range.”
“The range is going to be somewhere between 70 and 85%,” Fawcett added, as he first started saying 70 to 75% and then bought up to 85%, which he said is not a big leap. “Really based on calculations and pure extrapolation from measles.”
Fossey said the measles vaccine is about 98% effective, and when less than 90% of the population is vaccinated against measles, the herd’s immune system succeeds and people begin to become infected.
“So, I made a calculation that Kovid-19, SARS-Co-2, is not as transmissible as measles. Measles is the most contagious infection you can imagine.” “So, I would imagine that you want something a little less than 90%, that’s what I got in ’85.”
‘We believe the vaccine will be effective against the variable’
From Europe to the U.S. Despite the different types of coronavirus risk to move towards, a U.S. official said Americans can still protect themselves with similar mitigation measures.
“We believe the vaccine will be effective,” Admiral Brett Giroire, assistant secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, told Fox News on Sunday.
The jury said the CDC’s announcement last week of new testing requirements for tourists coming from the UK Has an “extra level”, which will come into effect from Monday.
Passengers travel from the UK to the U.S. with documents of their laboratory results. A negative PCR or antigen test should be performed within 72 hours of the flight to Ching. Airlines will have to confirm the test before the flight.
“I think we’re going to be very safe from this, as we’re re-vaccinating which will be very effective against all the stress out there,” Giroire told Fox.
Although Fawcett said it could be argued that the decision should have been made earlier, he called the need for testing “sensible”.
CNN’s Christina Maxis, Holly Silverman, Naomi Th, Miss, Virginia Langmide and Pete Muntea contributed to this report.
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