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According to the three largest bookmaker aggregators, Donald Trump’s chances of winning the US presidential election have skyrocketed. At the same time, the bookmakers are not ready to name any of the candidates as the unconditional leader.
Write about it Reuters.
UK Stock Exchange Smarkets is reportedly giving Trump and Biden almost an equal chance of winning. The probability of Trump’s victory is estimated at 51%, Biden – 49%. At the same time, a day earlier, the chances of a Democratic candidate were estimated at 61%.
“The hit in the rate markets was caused primarily by Trump apparently holding onto a key Florida state,” said Smarkets analyst Patrick Flynn.
On the Betfair betting exchange, the current president of the United States has a 62% chance of a second term, although the day before the probability was estimated at 31%. Consequently, Biden’s chances fell from 61% to 38%.
“With thousands of votes yet to be counted, it is unclear who will win, but for now Donald Trump is the player’s choice,” said Betfair spokesman Sam Rosbottom.
Recall, it was previously reported that the customer of bookmaker Betfair put 1 million pounds ($ 1.29 million) on Biden’s win. This is the biggest bet in politics for this bookmaker and the third biggest bet in principle.
RBC-Ukraine wrote that based on preliminary results, there is a minimal gap between Trump and Biden.
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