Scientists predicted the situation with COVID in Ukraine

According to the pessimistic scenario, in the first week of December the number of patients can reach 20 thousand, scientists say.

In Ukraine, in early December, there may be up to 20 thousand cases of coronavirus. This is stated in the study of the Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute together with the Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases.

According to scientists’ calculations, the rapid increase in incidence may become the reason for the introduction of a blockade in Ukraine. However, according to the optimistic scenario, fluctuations in the incidence rate in the range of 10-16 thousand cases are expected in the near future.

Scientists have established a strong correlation between the number of detected COVID-19 cases and the number of registered illnesses for influenza and ARVI (the correlation coefficient is 0.88). This indicates the underdiagnosis of mild to moderate COVID-19 cases.

Furthermore, the country’s death rate is expected to drop to 1.75%. It is almost twice as low as this indicator in spring and summer. After all, the calculated coefficient of adaptation to diseases in Ukraine is slowly improving.

It was previously reported that Ukraine recorded a sharp decline in the number of people infected with COVID-19. For the first time in two weeks, fewer than 10,000 new cases of coronavirus were registered in Ukraine.

Ministry of Health on COVID-19: the situation remains tense

News of Correspondent.net on Telegram. Subscribe to our channel https://t.me/korrespondentnet