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The Russian Federation does not hide its dissatisfaction with the change of power in Armenia as a result of popular outrage, noted Russian political scientist Andrei Piontkovsky. He believes that this affects the level of support from Moscow to Yerevan in its conflict with Baku.
In the confrontation over Nagorno-Karabakh, the power of Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to “punish” Armenia, where Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan came to power. This opinion was expressed on October 9 by the Russian political scientist Andrei Piontkovsky, living in the United States, on Radio Liberty.
“The conflict was inevitable, and for the moment, it seems to me [президент Азербайджана Ильхам] Aliyev chose the moment very precisely. First, at the height of neo-imperial ambitions [президента Турции Реджепа] Erdogan and at the base of Russian-Armenian relations. Russia, the Putin government, does not hide its extreme dissatisfaction with Pashinyan and, in general, the fact that a person came to power as a result of popular outrage, “he said.
The political scientist believes that “this is a completely unacceptable precedent for Putin personally.”
Piontkovsky drew attention to the fact that on September 27, in his speech to the people of Azerbaijan, Aliyev, “in addition to repeating all things of territorial values, protecting the territory, repeated a standard paragraph from the Kremlin propagandists about the Sorov coup, the Armenian coup and about Pashinyan the little grass “.
“He did this not because, by order of the Kremlin, he was repeating some recipes, but it was a very subtle move. He personally put pressure on Putin’s painful erogenous zones, appealed to the fact that the Armenian government was a product of Soros, the Americans. And he knew that Moscow would be pleased with a certain humiliation of Pashinyan, which could lead to his overthrow and the return of the old clan, which is in very close relations with Putin himself. Such a combination of external factors, Russian and Turkish, made the Azerbaijani authorities chose the moment of this counteroffensive “- explained the Russian political scientist.
According to him, the Kremlin “is trying to play a small two-way movement.”
“They foresaw a sharp and active reaction from Turkey. So now there are two motives: to punish the person who overthrew a close friend. To put in the spirit of the regime, and to strengthen its geopolitical positions in the Caucasus, which are now clearly threatened by Turkey. These two motives fight in the mind of the first person and in the clans’ struggle around the throne. It seems to me that the Kremlin now has that vision of the situation: first, a tactical task must be brought to a resolution, “Piontkovsky said.
In 1991, with the support of Armenia, Nagorno-Karabakh declared its independence from Azerbaijan. This led to hostilities that lasted until 1994. The armed conflict ended with the signing of the Bishkek Protocol on an armistice and a ceasefire, but from time to time armed clashes broke out between the parties. During the conflict, more than 30 thousand people died in the region.
Azerbaijan considers Nagorno-Karabakh as a territory occupied by Armenia.
On September 27, 2020, the biggest conflict in recent years broke out in Nagorno-Karabakh. The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry accused Armenia of “large-scale provocation”, bombardment of the Azerbaijani army positions and announced the beginning of a “swift counteroffensive”. The Armenian authorities, in turn, stated that the Azerbaijani army had launched an offensive in Nagorno-Karabakh. During the conflict, the parties used tanks, heavy artillery and aircraft. Soldiers and civilians were reported killed and injured.
Martial law was introduced both in Armenia and in certain regions of Azerbaijan. Both countries involved in the conflict announced mobilization.
On October 3, Armenia announced that Azerbaijan launched a large-scale offensive, which the self-defense groups of the unrecognized republic managed to stop.
On October 4, rockets and artillery were fired at various Azerbaijani settlements, including the cities of Ganja, Mingechevir and Terter. The leadership of the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh republic claimed responsibility for the bombing.
On October 6, Azerbaijan announced its readiness to provide humanitarian corridors for Armenian citizens in the conflict zone.
On October 9, during the negotiations in Moscow, the representatives of Azerbaijan and Armenia agreed to a ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh starting at 12:00 on October 10. However, after the start of the truce, both parties accused each other of breaking it.
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