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In Ukraine, the dollar exchange rate from January 13 to 14 will fall from 28.04 to 29.97 UAH / $, falling below the symbolic mark.
This is indicated in the statistics of the NBU and on the exchangers. It should be noted that the NBU sets the average value of the dollar, based on data from all transactions carried out in the market. The reference rate characterizes the situation in the exchange market, but the population cannot buy dollars at that price.
There are many reasons:
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the volume of imports decreased, demand decreased;
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Ukrainians started buying less dollars;
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foreigners began to actively buy Ukrainian government securities (OVDP).
Reuters predicted that the dollar rate in Ukraine in the first three months of 2021 will fall to 27.6 UAH / $, breaking the psychological mark of 28 UAH / $. “The Ukrainian hryvnia is likely to strengthen in the first half of 2021, thanks to the inflow of foreign exchange from exports and renewed interest from foreign portfolio investors in Ukrainian bonds,” says a monthly Reuters poll.
As OBOZREVATEL wrote, in Ukraine until January 17, the price of the dollar may fall 20 kopecks and reach the level of 28.2 UAH / $. According to Roboforex analyst Andriy Goylov: “Next week I expect the US dollar against the hryvnia additional correction to the level of 28.20. The single European currency against the hryvnia is likely to weaken to 34.65 “.