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According to the expert, the fall of the hryvnia against the dollar began immediately after the successful loan of the Ministry of Finance in foreign markets.
Starting next week, market participants will go on vacation and the situation in the markets will be neutral / Photo by UNIAN Vladimir Gontar
Until the end of the year, the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine may remain around the level of 28.20 hryvnia per dollar.
This was stated by the analyst of “Alpari” Maxim Parkhomenko, according to RBC-Ukraine.
Read alsoThe National Bank introduced anti-crisis measures during the closing period
According to the expert, the fall of the hryvnia against the dollar began immediately after the successful loan of the Ministry of Finance in foreign markets.
“On Monday, amid news about a new coronavirus seal and lockdown on EU countries, the hryvnia’s decline has intensified,” he added.
Parkhomenko recalled that the current week is the last active working week, during which negotiations will take place with the IMF, an auction of the Ministry of Finance for the placement of government bonds. According to him, starting next week, market participants will go on vacation and the situation in the markets will be neutral, which will not allow the Ministry of Finance to borrow large sums in the market and generate demand for the hryvnia.
“If this week, the hryvnia does not receive support, then by the end of the year there will simply be no factors that can strengthen it. And until the end of the year we will maintain the range at 28.20,” said the analyst.
Previous forecast
On December 21, 2020, the scientific work director of the Institute for Economic Research and Political Consulting, Veronika Movchan, announced that the exchange rate of the hryvnia against major currencies by the end of 2021 will not change much, but it is possible that there are fluctuations during the year.
Anti-crisis measures of the BNU
- On December 22, 2020, the National Bank of Ukraine introduced a set of anti-crisis measures to support the banking sector and the economy during the period of the restrictive measures imposed, including the enhanced quarantine (from January 8 to January 24, 2021 ).
- In particular, banks restructuring loans are recommended to borrowers who have faced financial difficulties due to restrictive measures and cannot service the loans.
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