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The dollar may fall to 27.8 hryvnia
The dollar is expected to decline moderately against the hryvnia over the next week. One dollar on the interbank market can be traded in a week for about 27.8 UAH, and one dollar in cash in banks can be traded for about 27.8 / 28.0 UAH.
Vadim Iosub, a senior analyst at Alpari, said this in a comment to RBC-Ukraine.
As the analyst recalled, during the past week, the dollar against the hryvnia decreased significantly in all segments of the foreign exchange market by 0.8-1.1%.
So, from Friday to Friday, the official US dollar rate set by the NBU fell from UAH 28.30 to UAH 28.08 (-0.8%). The supply / demand of the dollar in the interbank market, according to the company “UkrDealing”, during the same time decreased from 28.25 / 28.27 to 27.94 / 27.96 (-1.1%). Average rates of buying / selling dollars in cash at banks decreased during the week from 28.24 / 28.44 to 27.96 / 28.20 (-1.0% / – 0.9%). At the same time, the spread between the average sale and the average purchase widened from 0.7% to 0.9% due to a faster decrease in the buy rate compared to the sell.
Note that the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) during the week of December 7-11, 2020 bought $ 79 million on the interbank currency market. At the same time, the central bank did not intervene to sell foreign exchange. Thus, the NBU entered the market after four weeks, during which it refused to intervene to buy or sell foreign currency.
We will recall, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) on December 14, 2020 set the official rate at 27.96 hryvnia per dollar. During the last week, the rate has decreased by 1.1% (from 28.29 to 7 December).
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