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The Armed Forces of Ukraine reported losses following the death of a DPR soldier. Illustrative photo of the Ministry of Defense
This morning Ukraine announced two dead and two wounded in Donbas.
This could be the beginning of a serious aggravation in the region. This is especially alarming in the context of the events now unfolding in Kiev, where the political situation has worsened in the context of the conflict around the Constitutional Court.
It is also significant that the breaking of the truce occurred immediately after the local elections, by virtue of which this truce was generally concluded.
Who ripped him off – “Strana” realized.
What Ukraine said
In the morning, in the OOS summary, the headquarters announced the wounded and dead Ukrainians.
On October 29, a combatant was wounded in positions near Vodyanoye, near Mariupol. On the same day, near Zolote-4, a drone threw a grenade at the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: one of the soldiers was wounded by shrapnel. Both were taken to the hospital.
At midnight on October 30, a shootout broke out again in Vodyanoy: two Ukrainian soldiers were killed.
“The daring and insidious actions of the Russian occupation forces were immediately reported to the OSCE representatives through the Joint Control and Coordination Center,” the headquarters concluded.
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Subsequently, the commander of the United Forces, Sergei Naev, issued a separate appeal. Altogether, he repeated almost word for word the statement from his own press service. And he claimed that the enemy had violated the ceasefire agreements reached in July.
Alexey Arestovich, adviser to the Trilateral Contact Group, said Ukraine is convening an emergency meeting of the TCG on this matter. According to the information that was announced later in the “DPR”, it should start at 17:00 Kiev time.
The representatives of the Ukrainian delegation to the TCG working group on security issues qualify this incident as an incident which, firstly, had tragic consequences and, secondly, as indications of a deliberate escalation of the conflict and intended to deliberately altering agreements on a sustainable ceasefire regime. continues from July 27 “, – the website of the President of Ukraine quotes Arestovich.
It is true that there are discrepancies in the statements of Alexei and the military.
For example, Kravchuk’s adviser says that “the Ukrainian side has activated the coordination mechanisms within the framework of the Trilateral Contact Group with the OSCE and the Russian side, and with their help stopped the bombing.”
At the Naev headquarters, they added to this information that they had counterattacked: “The units of the Joint Forces gave an adequate response to the provocations of enemy fire, forcing the Russian occupation troops to return to the regime of silence.
What did the “republics” say
Note that yesterday in Donetsk they told how their fighter was killed by a Ukrainian drone.
On Thursday morning, the separatists announced that a drone had taken off from Chermalyk (40 km from Mariupol, under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine), which the “People’s Militia” shot down. However, the UAV managed to drop an explosive device and one of the representatives of the military formations died.
That is, apparently, the aggravation began not with the death of the Ukrainian military, but a day before.
In Donetsk, what happened today is openly called an “answer”.
“They organize provocative bombings, they kill our soldier with drones and, having received a reply, they activate the whining screeching mode,” Vladislav Berdichevsky, a deputy of the People’s Council of the DPR, wrote on Telegram.
Today a press conference was held in Donetsk on this occasion and a Ukrainian drone allegedly shot down yesterday was shown.
The “DPR Chancellery” added that they observe an increasing trend in bombings. And they connected this with the fact that in September Ukraine refused to sign additional ceasefire measures in the TCG.
“Strana” has already talked about these measures. They are related to improving coordination during conflict resolution. Including regulating mutual inspections of the parties.
The “LPR” said that today in a meeting with Ukraine they will return to this issue.
“It is planned to urgently consider the issue of coordination measures to ensure the ceasefire with a specific coordination mechanism based on the draft that we presented a month ago,” said the representative of the “republic” Vladislav Deinogo.
What’s going on around the truce?
Not long ago, Vladimir Zelensky said that there was only one defeat in combat during the entire armistice period.
“During 75 days of combat losses, one person died. One. I think this is our victory,” he said in an interview with the BBC.
We have already said that the ceasefire became one of the important assets of the president on the eve of the local elections. So he tried to confirm his image as a peacemaker.
Furthermore, in other areas – the Normandy format and the political settlement within Minsk – a dead end has been drawn. Even the prisoner exchanges haven’t taken place since December.
But the elections ended and the war started again.
It is still difficult to say whether it is a coincidence or a deliberate escalation of the conflict. But at the moment it is obvious that the exacerbation began earlier than the JFO headquarters reported. The separatists were the first to announce the losses (which traditionally no one paid attention to in Ukraine). And only then did they start talking about their dead in Kiev.
At the same time, both Chermalyk and Vodyanoe, where both incidents occurred, are in the same area, east of Mariupol, and on the same front line (the distance between the points in a straight line is about 20 kilometers). That works in favor of the “DPR” version of the “answer.”
But the very fact of exacerbation is, of course, alarming. Furthermore, as we can see, it takes place against the background of the widespread tension of the situation in Ukraine. In Kiev, for example, there is now political turbulence due to the abolition of anti-corruption laws in the Constitutional Court.
If a new war in Donbas is added to this, the situation will become even more complicated.
In this sense, Zelensky will likely benefit from returning the position on the front line to a regime of silence. This can be seen in the fact that it was Ukraine that started an emergency meeting of the Trilateral Contact Group today.
However, there are no guarantees that “meetings” will end with anything.
The duration of the effect depends on the consent of the Ukrainian delegation to the new ceasefire measures. Since without normal coordination between the warring parties, the truce will constantly break into skirmishes with the dead. As it was before July this year.
