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There is still no real meteorological autumn in Ukraine. Exceeding the temperature norm will be observed in the period from October 10 to 18. Only in some regions light frosts are possible, and in the Carpathians – snow. However, during the day in various areas, the air can heat up to +23 degrees.
Read more about the weather situation for next week at OBOZREVATEL.
The “summer” will continue in Ukraine
“No significant cooling is expected” – Roman Murmylo, the forecaster of the Hydrometeorological Center of Ukraine, told OBOZREVATEL about the weather for the next 10 days, until October 18.
According to him, in Ukraine it is still “meteoleto” is preserved, no sign of going into fall. The average daily air temperature is consistently above 15 degrees, and only in western regions is it about 15 degrees or less, while the norm for this time of year is about 10 degrees above zero. “Now the temperature is above normal, and soon it will not return to normal,” emphasized the expert.
The forecaster noted that the weather it will be quite unstable… “We do not expect much precipitation. We will be in the frontal zone all the time, so in one place there will be more precipitation and in another less, which was observed in previous days. In one place, the monthly precipitation rate can drop in 1-2 days. ” , and in the neighboring settlement there may be almost no rainfall, “he said.
It will be colder in the western and northern regions, and warmer in the south and east than in the rest of the country. “The least amount of precipitation will occur in southeastern Ukraine, especially along the Kiev-Odessa line,” Murmyla added.
“We do not expect frost during October. In October, there will be warm, foggy and rainy weather with rainfall of varying intensity. Significant cold waves for frost in the air are not yet visible,” the forecaster said.
Snow on the mountains, frost on the plain
Vladislav Timofeev, a senior researcher at the Hydrometeorological Institute of Ukraine, told OBOZREVATEL that it will be relatively hot in Ukraine until October 16 and 17.
“The air will get hotter than normal, up to 23 degrees in the south, up to 20 degrees in the north. It’s a little colder in the west, up to 18-19 degrees, “he said.
From Friday October 16 from the western regions the cold wave will begin… During the day, the air temperature will drop an average of 5-7 degrees. During the day it will be up to 15 degrees, at night – up to 10 degrees. Frosts are possible in the Kiev, Zhytomyr, Sumy regions.
The cold wave will be associated with a cyclone that will come from the south and will bring rains, more in the south, a little less, in the center and in the northeast.
Between October 17 and 23 it will be cold, but mostly dry, 10-12 degrees during the day, 3-5 degrees at night, frosts are possible. “There will be no snow on the flat territory of Ukraine, in the Carpathians – snow is possible“, – said the tipster.
According to him, it is from October 17 that the weather in Ukraine will return to the average annual norm, to the usual weather. After October 23, a cyclone will hit the western regions of Ukraine, the rains may begin.
There is a warm “five days”
Popular forecaster Volodymyr Derkach told OBOZREVATEL that now the weather in Ukraine is divided into “five days”, five days of relatively warm weather, five days, relatively cold.
As of October 9, the cold “five-day period” ended and a warm one began. He predicts a serious cold snap from October 20, and before that, a relatively warm climate with moderate rainfall.
The forecaster noted that the current period of warming can be called the Indian summer. Another period of warming is expected this fall in the second decade of November. It can also be attributed to the Indian summer.
The weather breaks all records
Vera Balabukh, head of the Department of Applied Meteorology and Climatology at the Hydrometeorological Institute of Ukraine, told OBOZREVATEL that the current warm autumn is a typical sign of climate change. “Our climate is changing fast enough… During the last 10, and especially 5 years, the temperature is generally extremely high, “he said.
“But this does not mean that every day will necessarily be warm. This means that in the extreme case 60% of the days will definitely be with temperatures above normal. But there is still 40%, when the temperature can be within normal limits or below normal. ” “, – explained the scientist.
According to her, the main direct cause of climate change is global ocean warming. “The same Atlantic, the same Pacific, the Indian Ocean have an extremely high temperature. The Atlantic Ocean in its thickness has warmed almost two kilometers. And this year an unprecedented high temperature in tropical latitudes, thanks to which we have extremely powerful cyclonic activity. This active season is not has been since 2005 “, – he said.
