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Photo: dollar exchange rate (Vitaliy Nosach, RBC-Ukraine)
After a long weekend, the rate may drop on exchangers to 26.9 hryvnia
Over the next week, a moderate depreciation of the dollar against the hryvnia is expected. About this in a comment to RBC-Ukraine, said Vadim Iosub, an analyst at Alpari.
“One dollar in an interbank market can trade approximately 26.7 UAH in one week, and one dollar in cash at banks can be quoted at approximately 26.6 / 26.9 UAH,” he said.
According to the analyst, in the last week, the dollar against the hryvnia has decreased moderately in all segments of the currency market by 0.4-0.6%.
So, from Friday to Friday, the official rate in US dollars established by the NBU fell from 26.97 to 26.82 UAH (-0.6%). The demand / supply of the dollar in the interbank market, according to the company Ukrdiling, during the same time decreased from 26.94 / 26.97 to 26.83 / 26.85 (-0.4%). The average rates of purchase / sale of dollars in cash in banks decreased during the week from 26.88 / 27.21 to 26.76 / 27.04 (-0.4% / – 0.6%).
At the same time, the differential between the average sale and the average purchase decreased from 1.2% to 1.0% due to a faster decrease in the sale rate compared to the purchase.
Remember that the National Bank of Ukraine bought $ 199.1 million in the interbank foreign exchange market during the week of May 4-8, 2020 and did not intervene in the sale of foreign exchange. Therefore, net purchase increased 1.7 times compared to $ 115.5 million the previous week.
Analysts predict that in the absence of a tranche from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the dollar against the hryvnia will rise above the 30 hryvnia per dollar mark.