Trump in trouble? Poll numbers make some conservatives nervous

You can rule out a bad poll or two.

But this week saw the launch of a series of national and key polls on the general election battlefield in state public opinion polls that showed Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading or outperforming President Trump in the national popular vote and More importantly, in crucial states, Trump won four years ago to annoy Hillary Clinton and win the White House.

The publication of the polls, from Fox News, New York Times / Siena College, NPR / PBS / Marist, Quinnipiac University and Marquette Law School, appears to be a problem right now for the president as he fights for another four years at the White Casa . But right now it is still a long way from Election Day.


But it’s not just in expected battlefield states that Trump is losing ground. Fox News polls released Thursday show Biden with a slight edge in Texas and Georgia, two states that were once reliably red that were not considered at the start of the 2020 presidential cycle.

When asked about the new polls, Trump’s re-election campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh told reporters on Thursday that “we have no stock in public polls of any kind.”

And specifically pointing to the New York Times / Siena national and battlefield polls, Murtaugh argued that the polls included “a subsampling of Republicans.”


But the avalanche of bad polls comes immediately after the bad headlines of the Trump campaign fueled by exaggerating last weekend’s rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, the president’s first rally since the coronavirus closed the country three months ago.

The Trump campaign had touted that 1 million people had applied for tickets, and they were forecasting a sold-out arena and an additional 40,000 followers at a makeshift overflow site off-site. But the crowd did not materialize, the outdoor stage was dismantled, and cameras showed that large portions of the upper deck of the arena were empty.

The developments have some of the president’s main supporters sounding the alarm bells.

“President Trump may lose these elections,” Fox News presenter Tucker Carlson tweeted hours after the launch of his network polls.

Carlson’s tweet linked to a video of his primetime show Thursday night on the cable news network, where he started his show warning that “not many people say it out loud to the right, but the fact is that President Trump could lose this election. In fact, unless the fundamental facts change soon, it could be difficult for him to be reelected. “

An opinion piece published Thursday night by the Wall Street Journal editorial board emphasized that “President Trump may soon need a new nickname for ‘Sleepy Joe’ Biden. How does the president-elect sound? In the current trend, that it’s exactly what Biden will be on November 4, as Trump addresses what could be a historic repudiation that would take the Republican Senate with him. “

The conservative editorial board noted the president’s approval rating, which currently stands at 42.1 percent according to a Real Clear Politics average from the latest polls, and said Trump is getting closer to what they called “George HW Bush and Jimmy territory. Sump”. Bush and Carter are the last two presidents who failed to win reelection.

Fox News senior political analyst and longtime DC anchor Brit Hume, tweeting a link to the Journal’s editorial piece, called it an “unwavering analysis of Trump’s reelection prospects: he’s in trouble, he’s headed for defeat. unless you change course. “

Longtime Republican strategist Colin Reed told Fox News: “You can rule out a poll, but this is pretty consistent across the board.”

And he stressed that “one of Donald Trump’s greatest political responsibilities at the moment used to be one of his greatest strengths: his ability to dominate news cycles and headlines.”

Reed noted that “for Trump to change this, he only needs to successfully process Joe Biden’s four and a half decades in office.” If this election is a choice between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, there is a long way to go until November. If this is a referendum on Donald Trump, Joe Biden seems to be in a pretty good place. “

The president, his campaign, and allied groups have been trying to turn the tables and make the general election focus on Biden: criticizing him as “soft” in China, questioning his mental acuity, and saying he would be hooked to the left of his party. if the White House wins.

Remember, a vote for @joebiden is really a vote for left-wing radicals like Elizabeth Warren and the AOC who control it, “Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale argued Friday.

The new polls come four and a half months before the November general election, which is an eternity in campaign politics.

David Tamasi, an influential DC-based lobbyist and Republican donor who raised money for the president, told Fox News that “on the money side, I have not seen any drop. If the elections were held today, I think it would certainly be much closer to what public polls say at the moment. “

And pointing to the calendar, he emphasized that “it is June 26. We have a long way to go. I’m not too concerned at this point where things are. “