As new cases of coronavirus soar across much of the nation, a new national poll now shows Democratic challenger Joe Biden to President Trump at 15 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University poll, which was conducted July 9-13, shows the former vice president and presumptive Democratic candidate with 52 percent support among registered voters, with Trump 37 percent support.
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Biden’s lead is almost double his 8-point lead he had in Quinnipiac’s previous poll, which was conducted in mid-June. And it exceeds the 14-point advantage Biden held over the president on CNN and the New York Times / Siena College polls conducted last month.
Wednesday’s poll launch is less than four months away from the November election, which can take forever in campaign politics. But Quinnipiac University poll analyst Tim Malloy emphasized that while “there are still 16 weeks to go until Election Day, this is a very unpleasant real-time view of what the future could be for President Trump . There is no advantage, no silver lining, or an encouraging trend hidden somewhere in this poll for the president. “
The poll indicates that Biden led the president 59-35 percent in managing the pandemic, 57-38 percent in handling a crisis, and more than two to one margin to address racial inequality. The poll suggests that the former vice president even beat Trump 50-45 percent in managing the economy, which has long been the president’s strongest problem.
The president’s overall approval rating is 36 percent, a 6-point drop from Quinnipiac’s June poll. Trump’s approval of the economy was also 44-53 percent underwater, and only 35 percent gave the go-ahead to the president at the job he is doing directing the federal response to the pandemic.
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Two-thirds of respondents said they do not trust the information the president is providing about the coronavirus. In comparison, nearly two-thirds said they trust the information provided by Dr. Anthony Fauci, the well-known public health expert and member of the White House coronavirus task force.
Trump and the White House have criticized Fauci in recent days. But on Wednesday the president told reporters: “We are all on the same team, including Dr. Fauci.”
By a two-to-one margin, voters said they think it would be unsafe to send students to elementary schools in the fall, and by the same margin they disapproved of the president’s vocal drive in recent days to reopen schools.
The president and his reelection campaign in recent months have repeatedly criticized public opinion polls as “cheap” and “flawed,” argued that those polls under sample Republican voters and said their own internal polls paint a very different picture in the key swing states.
In an interview on Fox News “Hannity” last week, the President emphasized: “I think we are doing very well in the polls. I think if you look at the different states, I think we are doing very well. We are increasing rapidly. “
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The Quinnipiac poll used live phone operators to interview 1,273 self-identified registered voters across the country. The sampling error of the survey is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
An average of the latest national polls in the 2020 presidential race compiled by Real Clear Politics indicates Biden with an 8.1 point advantage over Trump. More importantly, Biden enjoys single-digit advantages over the president in an average of the latest polls in many of the key battlefield states where the general election will be won.
At this point in the general election four years ago, Trump topped 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by about 3 points, according to Real Clear Politics. Clinton’s lead would fluctuate in the mid-single digits during the summer and fall before dropping to 3 points on the eve of the election. Clinton ended up winning the national popular vote by 2 percent.
But Trump narrowly surpassed Clinton in key states that President Obama led in 2008 and 2012, such as Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which gave him a major victory at the electoral college to win the White House.
