As voting continues early in the Georgia Senate, about 70,000 new voters have registered in the state, according to TargetSmart voter data analyzed by NBC News.
Experts and people on both sides generally agree that the outcome of the battle between the president and the senate in the general election will determine who wins these two races, with a slight change in the vote on January 5.
The NBC analysis found that 67,135 newly registered voters, excluding general election voting history, have been added to the list of potential voters for the next runoff. These voters were registered between the last date of state registration on November 4 and December 7.
Georgia has a total of 7,729,838 registered voters.
The run is at stake: if the Democrats win both contests, they will take over the Senate. David Perdue against Democrat John Osoff in another race and other Pitts Republican Sen. against Democratic challenger Rafael Warnak.
The big question, of course, is whether Democrats or Republicans get an edge with this group of new voters. The new registration numbers show a slight advantage for Democrats and, while this is an incentive for the party, the benefit is less, and a slight change in the turnout among those running in the general election could make such marginal benefits uncertain.
According to the participation registered by TargetSmart from multiple commercial sources, focusing only on newly registered voters, 29,850 or 44 percent are affiliated with Democrats. An additional 27,455 voters, or 41 percent, are Republicans and 9,830, or 15 percent, are not affiliated with either party.
Overall, 52 percent of Georgia’s newly registered voters are men (34,638), compared to 48 percent (32,291) who are women.
Young voters – a strong Democratic constituency – are likely to play a key role in parts of Georgia, as they were not eligible to vote in November but were able to vote in January because of a birthday later, or because of pure enthusiasm.
Data show that the majority of newly registered Georgians are between the ages of 18 and 29. Nine Th percent of those who register to vote after the general election are under 30 (25,950). The other 18 percent (12,123) are between 30 and 39, 13 percent (8,938) are between 40 and 49, 18 percent (11,984) are between 50 and 64, and 12 percent (8,131) are between 65 and over.
While white voters make up 52 percent (35,021) of newly registered voters, black voters make up 34 percent (22,970) of newly registered voters. Hispanic voters in Georgia make up 5 percent (3,654) of newly registered voters and Asian Americans 4 percent (2,737).
Nov Nov. Looking at the top four counties with the highest number of registered voters after After, Fulton, Gwyneth Paltrow, Cobb and D’Calb – at least four of the 10 newly registered voters in each county are under the age of 30. In all four counties, Joe Biden easily defeated President Donald Trump.
In Fulton County, 8 percent of newly registered voters are affiliated with the Democratic Party, while 1 percent are affiliated with the Republican Party. Fifty percent of newly registered voters are black and 35 percent are white.
In DeCallab County, 47 percent of newly registered voters are black and 34 percent are white. Biden had a 40-point advantage over Trump in both counties in the general election.
In Gwyneth County, where Biden outscored Trump by 18 points, compared to a six-point advantage over Hillary Clinton in 2016, 51 percent of newly registered voters are Democrats and 28 percent are Republicans. Thirty-four percent of newly registered voters in Gwyneth County are white and 33 percent are black.
Compared to the two-point margin for Clinton in 2016, Biben trailed Trump by 14 points, with 46 percent of newly registered voters joining Democrats and 36 percent with Republicans. Eight percent of newly registered voters are white and one percent are black.
In Henry County, a suburb of Atlanta, where Biden beat the president by more than 20 points (compared to a four-point advantage for Clinton in 2016), 62 percent of newly registered voters are Democrats and 22 percent are Republicans.
Black voters make up 52 percent of the newly registered voters in Henry County. White voters make up 34 percent of the new registrants there.
