With the onset of the cold winter months, predictions of a “second wave” of coronaviruses may be wrong, the scientist said.
Coronavirus is usually “at its peak” in the spring, said Professor Ben Newman, president of biological sciences at the University of Texas at Texas A&M and an associate professor visiting the University of Reading.
Newman said the predictions of coronavirus lean too heavily on the influenza virus – which peaks in the winter, but most viruses are not as seasonal as the flu.
Newman said some viruses usually come to the top in the spring peak, including most coronaviruses, and others to the top, such as the polyvirus in the summer or fall.
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Newman also believes that moving inside the house does not lead to coronavirus infection, as the winter months result in self-loneliness.
Newman said, “The indoor move for the winter will not increase the COVID-19 numbers.
“Cold winters can bring their own mini-quarantine, as we go home to avoid bad weather, and a little natural PPE in the form of scarves and gloves.
“Instead, look for behavioral changes that can lead to a mix of different households, especially where masks are not worn, as a potential source of Covid-19 – school repairs, dinner parties, rest restaurants.”
Newman also warned that the onset of “flu season” could lead to an increase in negative tests, as people with the flu take coronavirus tests.
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Newman said: “The potential side effect of the flu and Covid-19 season is that both diseases start with the same symptoms, so more people will be enough for the Covid-19 test.
“Oddly enough, the influx of flu-positive people receiving COVID-19 tests could bring down the percentage of potentially positive tests, which are later misleading that COVID-19 has been declining.
“This is one reason why positive percentages should not be taken in isolation to monitor the epidemic.”
