“Finally, every day that Trump stubbornly refuses to change course [on the coronavirus pandemic] is another day that it becomes increasingly likely that he will not only refuel his own re-election bid, but may be on a kamikaze mission to take down the Republican-held Senate with him. At this point, a net gain of five to seven seats for Democrats seems much more likely than the gain of one to three seats that would leave them feeling sorry for a majority. “
That’s a heel big deal.
Cook is currently suing Arizona Sen. Martha McSally (R) as a clear underdog to win in November, while the GOP held seats in Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Montana and North Carolina rated as pure toss-ups.
In contrast, Cook sees only one Democrat sitting in real jeopardy: Alabama – where Sen. Doug Jones (D) is an underdog against former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville (R).
It is very difficult to estimate how much of a sea change it would be for Democrats to conquer not only the White House, but the Senate in November. If that happened, then for the first time since 2009-2011, Democrats would have full control over the executive and legislative branches, in the first term of President Barack Obama.
And as President Donald Trump and current Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Kentucky) have shown with their advantage over confirmed federal judges – including two Supreme Court seats – control of the White House and the House of Representatives leaves the party in the lead of potential generational change. to make .
If this nightmare scenario for Republicans comes to the fore, it will probably spark the already bubbly conversation about what a post-Trump GOP could and should look like. Unfortunately for Republicans, that conversation could take place well because their party is effectively sidelined in terms of power in Washington.
The point: Apart from the White House as the majority of the House of Representatives would be terrible for Republicans. Both losses could be potentially catastrophic.
.
