Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign Report, your daily summary of the latest news in the 2020 Presidential, Senate and House elections. Did anyone send you this? Click here for subscribe..
We are Julia Manchester, Max Greenwood and Jonathan Easley. This is what we are seeing today in the electoral campaign.
LEADING THE DAY:
Sunday will mark 100 days until Americans across the country cast their ballots for the Presidential, Senate and House elections. Coronavirus and economic crises are likely to influence how voters choose their candidates, and Democrats appear to have an advantage across the board.
However, much can change between now and Election Day. Here’s a look at how races are taking place 100 days after Tuesday, November 3.
PRESIDENTIAL
President Trump
Donald John Trump Pelosi says Trump’s decision to reverse the fair housing rule is a “betrayal of our nation’s founding values.” Trump says he would consider pardons for those involved in the Mueller investigation. Fauci says he and his family have experienced “serious threats” during the pandemic. MORE He needs a career path to change quickly if he wants to secure a second term in office.
Trump follows alleged Democratic candidate and former vice president Joe Biden
Joe Biden Pelosi says Trump’s decision to reverse the fair housing rule is a “betrayal of our nation’s founding values.” Trump says he would consider pardons for those involved in Mueller’s investigation Trade negotiations should not shorten internal debate PLUS by 8.7 points nationwide in the average of RealClearPolitics (RCP) surveys. A recent poll found Biden ahead by 15 points.
Biden’s lead is outside the margin of error in four of the six central battlefield states. He leads by 6 points or more in the RCP averages of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida. Biden has smaller tracks in North Carolina and Arizona. Trump won all of those states in 2016.
Biden is also strengthening in the traditionally red states of Texas, Georgia, Iowa and Ohio that Trump must win to have a path to re-election.
Polls show voters prefer Biden’s leadership on the key issues of the day: the coronavirus pandemic and racial inequality.
In recent days, Trump has shifted to square with public opinion on the coronavirus, promoting masks and warning that the virus could worsen. Trump also canceled the Republican convention in Jacksonville and restarted his daily briefings with health experts.
SENATE
With 100 days to go until the November election, Democrats have a clear path to the Senate majority. Trends in current polls show that the party is on track to win seats in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina, and Democrats are now looking to the seats filled by the Republican Party in Georgia, Iowa and Montana, among others. states that once seemed more favorable to Republicans
Meanwhile, Republicans are fighting to stop the expansion of the Democratic offensive, lining up multi-million dollar ad reserves in states like Georgia and Iowa, and spending on Republican Senate primaries in Kansas to boost the representative. Roger marshall
Roger W. Marshall The Hill Campaign Report: Biden, Obama Meets For A Socially Distant Conversation Republican Group Book Announcements For Kansas Senate Primary The Hill’s Morning Report – Featured By Facebook – Other To GOP: Where is your bill COVID-19? PLUS (R), whom they see as the candidate most likely to fill the open position for Republicans in November.
But Trump’s fall in polls in recent months, combined with an increase in fundraising for Democratic Senate challengers, has put Republicans in an increasingly dire position as they begin the crucial 100-day sprint for Election Day.
HOUSE
Democrats also appear to have a major-race lead in the House, leading in the generic vote and in a series of critical races. the Cook’s Political Report moved 20 House races to Democrats last week, and the party currently leads the Republican Party in the Generic FiveThirtyEight voting.
Strategists say the low number of Republicans has to do with Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic and Democratic efforts to link Republican candidates to the president. Expect to see Democrats continue to refine health care, as well as how it relates to the pandemic. Hope they also reject Republican efforts to dismantle ObamaCare, which was an issue that helped them win back the House in 2018.
Republican candidates, on the other hand, will continue to promote economic growth under the Trump administration. While the country is in an economic recession right now, the Republican Party argues that Trump and Republicans were responsible for the growing economy before the pandemic, and are therefore the best candidates to lead the recovery.
– Jonathan, Max and Julia
FROM THE ROAD:
Trump is going to repeat all of his success in 2016 in Florida, but recent polls show that he likely faces a difficult road ahead. The Trump campaign has set aside more in television advertising in Florida than in any other state: a staggering $ 40 million in airtime, more than it has set aside in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin combined, according to an analysis of advertising data conducted. by The Hill. In addition to that, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee (RNC) have unleashed a massive running game in the state, with more than 180 employees in each county. Julia and Max report.
Trump seeks to crush persistent dissent within the Republican Party, lashing out at the Representative. Liz Cheney
Elizabeth (Liz) Lynn CheneyFauci says he and his family have experienced “serious threats” during the pandemic of Trump’s attacks on the former DHS secretary over criticism of the federal crackdown that Trump beats Cheney while facing criticism from other Republicans. MORE (R-Wyo.) And former Bush administration official Tom Ridge after the two they offered implicit and explicit criticism of the president. Brett Samuels and Jonathon report.
TriumphNew campaign manager Bill Stepien said Friday that the president’s support is underrepresented in public polls, and that polls show Biden Leading by big margins does not accurately reflect the state of the race. Jonathan reports.
CONGRESS AND STATES:
Cook’s Political Report moved several Senate races to Democrats on Thursday, giving hope to Democrats seeking to change the Senate within 102 days. The hill‘s Marty Johnson reports.
MONEY CLOCK:
Democrat super PAC MeidasTouch is launching a six-figure ad purchase in Texas that will feature ads in the Houston and Dallas television markets. A new ad, titled “Trump is a disaster,” was released Thursday and is part of the purchase. The hillRebecca Klar reports.
SURVEY CLOCK:
FOX NEWS– PRESIDENTIAL OF PENNSYLVANIA
Biden: 50%
Trump: 39%
FOX NEWS – PRESIDENTIAL OF MICHIGAN
Biden: 49%
Trump: 40%
FOX NEWS – MINNESOTA PRESIDENTIAL
Biden: 51%
Trump: 38%
PERSPECTIVES
Dennis Bailey: the Susan Collins
Susan Margaret CollinsCoronavirus Talks About Fracture Republican Party Unit Planned Parenthood Launches Six-Digit Ad Campaign Criticizing Vulnerable Republican Party Senators on COVID-19 Bill Republican Party Senate Issues Fourth Quarter, Trump Fights MORE riddle
Steve Forbes and Stephen Moore: President Trump must avoid the 1990 Republican political curse
David Schultz: It is Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar: Leaders of the Progressive Caucus demand that Democrats withdraw the House national security bill to bring to the ground the controversial National Security bill The Hill’s Campaign Report: Georgia Democrats nominate state party president for seat of John Lewis MORE one and ready? Why might I lose the August primaries?
MARK YOUR CALENDARS:
August 4th:
Arizona Primaries
Kansas Primary
Michigan Primaries
Missouri Primaries
Washington primaries
August 11:
Connecticut Primary
Minnesota Primaries
Vermont Primary
Wisconsin Primaries
Georgia primary runoff
August 18th:
Alaska Primary
Florida primaries
Wyoming Primary
August 17-20:
Democratic National Convention
August 24-27:
Republican national convention
September 1st:
Massachusetts primary
September 8th:
New Hampshire Primary
Rhode Island Primary
September 15:
Delaware Primaries
September 29th:
First presidential debate
October 7:
Vice presidential debate
October 15th:
Second presidential debate
October 22:
Third presidential debate
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