Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign Report, your daily summary of the latest news in the 2020 Presidential, Senate and House elections. Did anyone send you this? Click here for subscribe..
We are Julia Manchester, Max Greenwood and Jonathan Easley. This is what we are seeing today in the electoral campaign.
LEADING THE DAY:
Alleged Democratic candidate Joe Biden
Joe BidenGOP questions whether Trump will stick to the new coronavirus approach The Trump administration to give additional B to nursing homes Trump responds to Biden’s accusation of racism comparing himself to Lincoln MORE has opened up a healthy lead in new Florida polls, a warning sign for President Trump
Donald John TrumpTrump says he would feel comfortable sending his son and grandchildren to school in person. Cafeteria worker on White House grounds tests positive for COVID-19: Reports Republicans will begin revealing the coronavirus package Thursday MOREThe campaign with the elections only three months away.
A new Quinnipiac University A poll finds Trump behind Biden by 13 points in Florida after a previous April poll that found Biden ahead by just 4 points.
Biden leads by 20 points or more on the two big problems of the day: the coronavirus response and the treatment of racial inequality. The president only has a 3-point lead over Biden in the economy, which is his biggest talking point.
To St. Pete Polls The poll released Thursday found the race was closer, but Biden’s lead is still outside the margin of error. Biden is 50-44 in that poll. The Democrat has a 14-point lead among the independents who drove Trump’s 2016 victory.
The new polls are alarming to Republicans for several reasons.
Florida, the largest swinging state in the country, is the quintessential battleground state. The result is generally only determined by a point or two in the general election, so polls showing Biden with a great advantage underscore Trump’s weakness at the moment.
Trump narrowly won Florida in 2016, and there’s almost no way back to the White House for him if he loses there in 2020.
The president has seen his support in the Florida crater despite the fact that his campaign has spent a lot there. The Trump campaign has invested a staggering $ 40 million in Florida, and outside Republican groups have spent another $ 16.1 million.
Trump’s response to the coronavirus is clearly weighing him down in a state that has become a hotspot for the spread of the disease.
The Quinnipiac poll found that 70 percent of Florida voters described the spread of the coronavirus as “out of control.”
37 percent of voters approve of Trump’s handling of the virus, compared to 59 percent who disapprove of it. That’s close to Trump’s overall job approval rating, which stands at 40 percent positive and 58 percent negative.
Republicans plan to hold a reduced convention in Jacksonville, Florida, next month. 62% of voters overall said it would be unsafe to hold the convention there, although 69% of Republicans believe it will be safe.
– Jonathan Easley
READ MORE:
Biden has a 13-point lead over Trump in Florida: poll, by Marty Johnson of The Hill
Poll: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in Florida, by Max Greenwood
Presidential ad wars focus battlefield 2020, by Reid Wilson of The Hill
Internal Democratic poll shows a tight race in the key Texas House district, by Julia Manchester
FROM THE ROAD:
Trump has stepped up his efforts to portray himself as a hard-line president of law and order on Wednesday, but it’s a tactic that hasn’t worked so far. The Hill’s Niall Stanage reports.
Former president Barack Obama
Barack Hussein ObamaTrump Responds to Biden’s Accusation of Racism Compared to Lincoln The Hill Campaign Report: Biden, Obama Gathers for Socially Distant Conversation Trump Campaign Leaning on Goya Controversy in New Spanish Ads MORE He sat down with Biden for a conversation Thursday about the state of the United States. Obama criticized the federal response to the coronavirus, saying the United States is not dealing with the coronavirus pandemic as “cleverlyLike other countries with similar resources. Rebecca Klar of The Hill reports.
Obama also said he believes Biden will be an effective administrator of the crisis if elected in November. Biden’s campaign cut part of the conversation in a new ad, and Trump is returning the explosion. The Hill’s J. Edward Moreno reports.
CONGRESS AND STATES:
Several members of the Hispanic Congressional Caucus (CHC) supporting the Representative. Joe Kennedy
Joseph (Joe) Patrick KennedyPharma executives say the FDA will not lower standards for the coronavirus vaccine. The Massachusetts Democrat calls for the head of the Voice of America to resign. The Hill Campaign Report: Jacksonville Requires Face Cover As Republican Convention Nears MORE (D-Mass.) At the Massachusetts Senate Democratic Primary, he held a press conference Thursday during which they criticized the incumbent senator. Ed Markey
Edward (Ed) John MarkeyLawyers lobby NOAA to avoid future ‘Sharpiegate’ NIGHT POWER: EPA declines to tighten smog standards amid pressure from green groups | Democrats split from Trump’s plan to use development funds for nuclear projects | Russian mining giant reports another fuel spill in Arctic Democrats division over Trump’s plan to use development funds for nuclear projects MORE‘s (D-Mass.) 2013 vote on a National Security budget bill.
The bill contained a directive to expand the number of beds in Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detention centers and private prisons to 34,000.
“These are the children of the vows that Steve King
Steven (Steve) Arnold King: Progressive Bowman expels Engel in New York. Colorado Republican Rep. Scott Tipton defeated on the front line. in Iowa leads. Someone who presents himself as a progressive voter like Steve King does? That should tell you something, ”Texas representative. Filemon Candle
Filemon Bartolome VelaTexas Democrat proposes COVID-19 fund for victims of damages Texas legislators ask HHS to establish a field hospital, federal resources in the state The Hispanic Caucus requests to meet with the CEOs of the private detention center MORE (D) said during the conference.
John Walsh, campaign manager for Markey shot back in a statement shortly after the press conference, saying Kennedy voted in favor of the Omnibus funding bill for the 2014 fiscal year, which included language to maintain a level of 34,000 detention beds through September 2014.
Kennedy’s Latin American outreach director Ramon Soto responded to Markey’s campaign, saying they had “misinterpreted” Kennedy’s vote, which took place in an effort to prevent a government shutdown.
“The Markey Campaign has deliberately misrepresented Kennedy’s vote to end the threat of a federal shutdown in order to try to salvage a story that reflects a devastating lack of empathy for ICE detainees by Senator Markey,” Soto said. “Kennedy voted to completely remove the mandate from the bed and, when that amendment failed, he voted against the larger bill. Ed Markey opposed President Obama and Democratic Leadership to support ICE and intentionally vote on the bed quota. ”
Kennedy and Markey will meet in primary on September 1.
PERSPECTIVES
Glenn C. Altschuler: Do Republican Governors Live in a Parallel Universe?
James Roosevelt Jr. and Henry Scott Wallace: A New Deal for the 21st Century
MONEY CLOCK:
Everytown for Gun Safety announced a $ 15 million digital advertising program Thursday, with reservations in eight key battlefield states. The program will invest $ 1.25 million in digital ads in Arizona, $ 5 million in Florida, $ 500,000 in Georgia, $ 1.25 million in Iowa, $ 1 million in Minnesota, $ 1.5 million in North Carolina, $ 1 million in Pennsylvania, and $ 3.5 million in Texas. The ads are slated to air on various platforms, including Pandora, YouTube, Hulu, and Univision. Tal Axelrod from The Hill reports.
SURVEY CLOCK:
UNIVERSIDAD DE QUINNIPIAC – PRESIDENTIAL OF FLORIDA
Biden: 51%
Trump: 38%
St. PETE SURVEYS – PRESIDENTIAL OF FLORIDA
Biden: 50%
Trump: 44%
GARIN HART YANG- TEXAS-21 INVESTIGATION GROUP (DAVIS INTERNAL)
Chip royLegislator Charles (Chip) Eugene RoyGOP condemns Trump’s comments on the Maxwell The Hill Morning Report – Presented by Facebook – Dems to GOP: Where’s Your COVID-19 Bill? Bolton defends Cheney amid clash with House conservatives MORE: 46%
Wendy Davis: 45%
MARK YOUR CALENDARS:
August 4th:
Arizona Primaries
Kansas Primary
Michigan Primaries
Missouri Primaries
Washington primaries
August 11:
Connecticut Primary
Minnesota Primaries
Vermont Primary
Wisconsin Primaries
Georgia primary runoff
August 18th:
Alaska Primary
Florida primaries
Wyoming Primary
August 17-20:
Democratic National Convention
August 24-27:
Republican national convention
September 1st:
Massachusetts primary
September 8th:
New Hampshire Primary
Rhode Island Primary
September 15:
Delaware Primaries
September 29th:
First presidential debate
October 7:
Vice presidential debate
October 15th:
Second presidential debate
October 22:
Third presidential debate
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