The exhaustion of the US elections: Arizona’s “fierce battle against rotation” and the Sichuan-style vote-watching chaos | the last 24 hours | udn Global

2020/11/05 24 hour corner

【2020. 11. 05 United States】

The exhaustion of the US elections: Arizona’s “fierce battle against rotation” and the voting chaos of Sichuan schools

“Arizona’s hand-to-hand combat isn’t over yet ?!” The 2020 US presidential elections, which were voted on across the country, ended in the worst “stalemate.” Although the total number of votes was the highest in history, there has been a swing of votes from very small distances in major swing states. Except for Pennsylvania (20 votes), Wisconsin (10 votes), Michigan (16 votes), North Carolina (15 votes) and Georgia (16 votes), which are still processing mailed ballots and are vigorously mobilizing in the “demand for inspection of votes”; The Lone Ranger State Arizona (11 votes), originally “Fox News” and “The Associated Press,” “Advance Biden Victory,” also announced on the night of the 4th that the “hundreds of thousands” of votes mailed that had just entering the door would remain open, and Unlike other states, Arizona’s mail-order voters are more supportive of the Republican Party. Biden, who originally drew 80,000 votes to lead, has again fallen under pressure to be reversed. At the same time, Biden only led by 7,647 votes, which is related to whether the Democratic Party can get 270 votes upfront to guarantee Nevada’s election (6 votes). The advancement of the vote completely ignores the highly tense social pressure in the United States. Not only is the opening speed extremely slow. In the afternoon, he even announced, “No progress today! Everyone will be back on Thursday afternoon.”

The “return to fierce fighting” in the state of Arizona has greatly altered known electoral trends. Because after Wisconsin and Michigan rejected most of the remaining votes on the afternoon of the 4th and gave the Democratic Party a “slight edge,” the theoretical votes from Biden’s Electoral College have reached 264, provided the voting progress exceed Nevada’s 6 extremely slow votes may hold the lead from Biden, who can claim upfront that he has garnered 270 electoral votes, regardless of the final results from Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.

However, the prerequisite for the claim that “Biden has won 264 votes” included the state of Arizona, where “Fox News” took the lead by proclaiming “Biden won” late at night on the 3rd. So when the Asian State Government and the Election Committee declared on the night of the 4th that “there are hundreds of thousands of ballots mailed ready to be opened,” Biden’s original lead of 80,000 votes in Arizona has fallen into the trap. from “victory can be canceled”. Reverse the crisis.

American professional election media “FiveThirtyEight” stated that: Arizona’s election is definitely not as determined as “Fox News” and “Associated Press” judged it. According to the Arizona Secretary of State on the night of the 4th, there are still 600,000 mailed ballots and special tickets that have not been processed in the state. About half of them are from Maricopa County, the Republican constituency, which is relatively more Trump. On mailed ballots, Trump also led Biden 6-4.

“The question for Arizona is: (1) Are we not sure exactly how many valid mail tickets are left? Are we also not sure how quickly Trump can go after him? (2) Why” Fox News, “which has always been loyal to Trump, is he still available? When changes are possible, make an early decision to declare ‘Biden’s Victory’? “

The “Fox” and “Associated Press” perception of Arizona’s postal vote may stem from two stereotypes: postal votes from other parts of the United States primarily support the Democratic Party, and hundreds of thousands of votes from Mimari County Copa (Phoenix) and Pima County (Tucson) have metropolitan voters who support the Democratic Party.

However, “FiveThirtyEight” believes that Arizona, which has always been used to sending votes by mail, originally had more enthusiasm for Republican absenteeism; meanwhile, Marc County also supported Trump with a fierce battle advantage of over 2% in 2016. So, even if “the bottom line is still slightly better for Biden,” the fierce battle is very likely and stagnant tensions in Arizona overturn the announcement of the election by “repealing Trump.”

In fact, the “Fox News” on the Arizona incident has drawn “extreme ire” from Trump himself, the White House, and presidential campaign personnel. Since the live broadcast on the night of the 3rd, a large number of opinion leaders supported Trump, asking the social network to launch “Fox News”; even the special “Fox” correspondent stationed at the White House especially noted: “When” Fox “first announced that Biden won Arizona, the face of the White House was blue …”

However, even if there was a controversy in the voting report in Arizona, “Fox News” won the nation’s viewership championship on the night of the 2020 ticket sales with 14 million viewers. At the same time, despite Trump’s strong push for “vote chase,” looking at the constituency situation, Arizona may still be similar to Wisconsin in the end. You can already enter a very small margin of verification of votes, and the Democratic Party will win narrowly or enter a tug of war.

Except for Arizona, the current number of votes in the United States is the most recent, which is crucial to the election results, but ticketing progress is slow like a lazy “hot constituency”, it is say, Nevada, led by the city of Las Vegas casinos. ——Since the votes were cast overnight from 3-75%, Biden led Trump by 7,647 votes, Nevada’s vote counting progress has tended to stagnate and almost no update as if asleep.

Nevada authorities stated that due to technical problems that delayed the opening of the polling station, the court temporarily ordered Nevada to “extend the voting time by one hour” on the third day of the election, so the night of the election voting will be slower.

But for now, Nevada’s “vote in place” is about complete. Only mailed ballots, handicap ballots, new resident special ballots, and overseas mailed ballots have yet to be counted. The last scheduled time is November 10. It will be completed at the end of the day. However, the situation is different from other states. While waiting for the ballots to be sorted, Nevada has almost no simultaneous vote count. Also, the current election situation is stagnant: Biden’s field only needs 6 Nevada votes to be elected. ——So, in public opinion on social media, there have also been a large number of American voters who are nervous about watching the night and can’t stand the slowness of Nevada.

“Wait no more! The vote count will not be updated today, please arrive early tomorrow, everyone.” On the afternoon of the 4th, the Nevada Election Commission, which ignored the social tensions, said: Next, Nevada will announce early voting and accept it 2 days ago. The mailed ballots arrived, and the remaining sporadic election days, voting in place, “but it will not be announced until noon on the 5th at least.” During the process, Nevada changed his mind for a while “because everyone cares, so we are considering billing all night.” But later, he still gave up his plan on the condition of prudence first, and everything had to wait until dawn.

The Nevada government particularly emphasized that during the voting process, many Republican groups and Trump supporters have repeatedly asked “voters for“ substantial scrutiny. ”However, in the process of counting the votes in various locations, many viewers excitedly they tried to talk to the ticket offices, they left the voting area, they even physically threatened the electoral officials, they tried to touch the votes without authorization … etc. Therefore, the internal government of the state does not consider temporarily responding more to the so-called demands from the people of “substantial vote monitoring.”