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US Democratic presidential candidate Biden (left) and his running mate He Jinli Image: Retrieved from Biden Facebook
The son of American Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, has yet to finish the Tong Wumen, and another “Tong Hammon” is revealed! The British “Daily Mail” claimed to have obtained a major Kazakh “anti-corruption” email, showing that Hunter has a close relationship with Kazakh tycoon Rakishev (Kenes Rakishev), and Rakishev is with Kazakhstan. President Nursultan Nazarbayev (Nursultan Nazarbayev), who was involved in acts of corruption, also posted a photo of Biden with Rakishev and Hunter. Biden may not be able to escape this time. As there are already polls showing that Biden’s approval rating is declining under the influence of the scandal, economist Wu Jialong analyzed that Biden’s lead in the polls was not large enough and that he has already been eliminated from the general election of United States.
The Daily Mail reported that Hunter had made a lot of money overseas for many years, but morally questionable jobs, because those jobs often created obvious conflicts of interest with Biden’s public office. In 2014, when Biden was vice president and directed US policy toward Ukraine, Hunter served as a director of Burisma, a Ukrainian energy company, and enjoyed a high salary. Such doubts about the negative impact of Biden continue to flow and have begun to affect the final outcome of the US elections.
In this regard, economist Wu Jialong said earlier, I mentioned an argument earlier, it seems that many people still do not understand that it is that Biden’s advantage in the polls is not large enough. Is Biden leading the way in the so-called major media polls? To have! Does the lead range exceed the statistical error range? To have! However, after reading it, I said that the advantage is not big enough, so after going into October, there is a great chance that the incumbent will be ousted. Fans who are following me must remember that I said this.
Wu Jialong analyzed that in a major event like the US presidential election, both sides will definitely come out in full force, do their best, and all electoral tricks will be used. Therefore, the analysis and prediction of the final election results should automatically include in advance the possible effects of various electoral tactics. Can’t wait for things to happen to say, oh, this “October Surprise” I wasn’t expecting. You don’t need to see what the “October Surprise” will be beforehand, but you know things will happen anyway. Why does Biden’s lead have to be big enough to have a show? Two reasons.
The first reason is that the rejection rate in surveys is very high. The main reason is that Trump’s voters, those at the bottom of society, dropped the phone when they received the poll and refused to answer. Therefore, the election agency should, logically, announce the rejection rate of your survey at the same time this time. By some estimates, the rejection rate starts at 10% and can even go as high as 20%. This means that Biden’s advantage must be deducted at least 10% for comparison, or even 20%. But if this happens, Biden has lost in the polls. In my impression, in 2016, Hillary’s lead in some polls was close to 20%, so at the time, all the mainstream media predicted that Hillary would win. But you already know that a 20% lead is not enough.
The second reason is called “headline advantage.” The incumbents control judicial investigation agencies, tax investigation agencies, intelligence agencies, etc. Many black materials have been prepared in advance to repair the opponent. Additionally, these materials will never be released in advance, but will be scrapped two to three weeks before the election to catch opponents off guard. The choice is played like this. Some election stunts even broke out two or three days before the election, or even on the day of the vote. The “computer door” or “hard drive door” incident of Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, in my opinion, is just a routine general election matter – this sort of thing will happen sooner or later, and they will happen, there is no doubt.
Wu Jialong pointed out that when I saw that Biden’s lead in the polls was less than 10%, I was very rude to say that the American elections ended a long time ago and that Biden has been nominated to represent the Democratic Party from the beginning. Out of the game. Given that they have been out for a long time, why do Americans have to play so hard? That’s because Americans hate “garbage time” even more. Anyway, an American election is also a great drama, and the ending is known at seven or eight in the morning, so how can you see this scene?
Wu Jialong believes that he will see Trump’s election in a hurry. In fact, this is acting. This is called a “voting call.” Everyone in Taiwan knows that the winner must be in a hurry. Only then will the vote be cast. Anyone who understands elections knows it. It is the basic action. In other words, in an election, the real winner will never say they won, because since you won, why would I, a voter, go out to vote for you? Therefore, when I saw Trump performing in an emergency scene, constantly spurring on the CCP and forcing the CCP to fire the first shot, I knew that not only would Trump win, but Taiwan would also be fine and safe.
Wu Jialong said that, fortunately, the Communist Party of China is said to have a new definition of the United States. The six words are “actively seek confrontation”! I think Xi Jinping should have discovered that Trump is now “seeking war.” Trump’s apparent reason for the urgent electoral situation is that he is actually digging holes for Xi Jinping to jump in, and he is preparing to make a cruel move. PS: If I was Trump, I wouldn’t want Biden to retire, but after letting him run to the end, I would severely defeat him and kill him.
Economist Wu Jialong analyzed that Biden’s lead in the polls was not great enough and that he has already been eliminated from the US general election.
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