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Political Center / Full Report
Although there is still some time to go before the 2022 Taipei mayoral elections, Health and Welfare Minister Chen Shizhong, Taipei Deputy Mayor Huang Shanshan and Kuomintang legislator Jiang Wanan have been named candidates. Popular for the mayor of Taipei, according to the latest media polls, show that if these three people compete, Jiang Wanan Support rate is 50%, ahead of Chen Shizhong’s 37% and Huang Shanshan’s 9%. The other 4% has yet to be decided.
▲ KMT legislator Jiang Wanan, Health and Welfare Minister Chen Shizhong, Taipei City Vice Mayor Huang Shanshan (combined image / data photo)
As for the candidates for the Taipei mayoral elections in 2022, the Kuomintang, in addition to Jiang Wanan, who is currently very popular and well-known in Taipei, is also interested in running for the elections. As for the green field, Chen Shizhong’s performance in preventing Wuhan pneumonia has been affirmed by the majority of the people, representing the DPP in the election of the mayor of Taipei. In addition, DPP lawmaker Wu Siyao, Keelung Mayor Lin Youchang, and Hsinchu Mayor Lin Zhijian also persuaded Jin to run for mayor of Taipei. sound. Huang Shanshan, the deputy mayor of Taipei City, is considered the successor to Ke Wenzhe and may win the support of the People’s Party to run for the next mayor of Taipei.
According to the latest poll by the TVBS Polling Center, if the KMT recommends that Jiang Wanan stand for election, and the DPP is Chen Shizhong, and the People’s Party supports Huang Shanshan, when the three of them compete for mayor of Taipei, 50% of Taipei citizens will support Jiang Wanan. 37% support Chen Shizhong, 9% support Huang Shanshan, and 4% have yet to make up their minds. Compared to the April poll, Jiang Wanan’s support rate has changed from 14 percentage points behind Chen Shizhong (35%: 49%) to 13 percentage points ahead.
▲ Taipei City Councilor Luo Zhiqiang (Photo by reporter Lin Enru)
If the DPP is represented by Taipei City Councilor Wu Siyao, the support of Taipei citizens for Jiang Wanan will reach 61%, which is clearly above Wu Siyao’s 18%. Another 15% support Huang Shanshan and 5% have not decided. If the DPP elects the mayor of Keelung Lin Youchang to stand for election, the KMT Jiang Wanan support rate will also be above 60% (61%), Lin Youchang will receive 20% of the support of Taipei citizens, Huang Shanshan’s support rate will be 14% and the other 5% is undecided. And if the current mayor of Hsinchu, Lin Zhijian, represents the Democratic Progressive Party for the election of the mayor of Taipei, the support rate for Jiang Wanan is 59%, which is still clearly ahead of Lin Zhijian’s 20% and 14%. % of Huang Shanshan. Another 6% of Taipei citizens have yet to decide who they support.
In general, when the Kuomintang was elected by the representative of Jiang Wan’an, no matter which representative the DPP sent, the current degree of support lags behind Jiang Wan’an. If the Kuomintang pressures Representative Luo Zhiqiang to run for election, support is lagging behind Chen Shizhong (30%: 46%). If the Kuomintang pressures current Taipei City Councilor Luo Zhiqiang to introduce himself to the Mayor of Taipei, it will oppose DPP Health Minister Chen Shizhong and the party-supported public Huang Shanshan, Among the three candidates, DPP Chen Shizhong won the support of 46% of Taipei citizens, 16 percentage points ahead of Luo Zhiqiang (30%), and Huang Shanshan’s support was 19%. The 5% has yet to be decided.
▲ Lin Zhijian, Mayor of Hsinchu City (Photo courtesy of Hit Fm producer “Zhou Yukou Choking News”)
If it was the Kuomintang Luo Zhiqiang, the DPP Wu Siyao and the Huang Shanshan People’s Party, Luo Zhiqiang’s support was 35%, Huang Shanshan was 31%, and Wu Siyao’s support was 26%, behind Luo Zhiqiang and Huang Shanshan, and another 7% had yet to make up their minds. And if the DPP recommends Hsinchu Mayor Lin Zhijian to stand for election, Luo Zhiqiang’s support rate is 35%, Huang Shanshan’s support rate is the same at 30%, the rate of Lin Zhijian’s support is 27% and the other 8% of Taipei citizens have yet to decide who to support. If the DPP is represented by the mayor of Keelung Lin Youchang, the support of the KMT Luo Zhiqiang is 36% and the support of Lin Youchang and Huang Shanshan is 29%, and the other 7% are undecided.
In general, if the KMT is represented by Luo Zhiqiang and the DPP is elected by Chen Shizhong, support will be in the lead; but if the DPP recommends Wu Siyao, Lin Zhijian or Lin Youchang for the elections, Luo Zhiqiang’s support is the leader, but three parties None of them have obvious advantages, forming a three-part world.
The poll was conducted by the TVBS Public Opinion Poll Center from September 14 to 18. The effective sample was 1.045, and the sampling error was within ± 3.0 percentage points with a 95% confidence level. The sampling method uses random sampling of the last four digits of the telephone number and telephone interviews with the personnel; all data are statistically weighted according to variables such as maternal sex, age, region and educational level.
