KMT support is rapidly being overtaken by the Ding Tingyu People’s Party: If you can’t play, you will be eaten by Ke Wenzhe | Politics | Newtalk

According to the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation today (29) The latest polls published on Japan noted that support for the KMT and the DPP has declined, while support for the People’s Party1Lift jump5%, Only with the KMT2.5%distance. The president of the foundation, You Yinglong, believes that the People’s Party has gone from the middle, light blue and light green to a little blue; And academic Ding Tingyu even warned the KMT that it is dangerous for the People’s Party to eat him if he can’t play Ke Wenzhe now.

Taiwan Public Opinion FoundationtodayTo hold12National electoral conference of the month, the theme is “2020Great performance by the Cai government, “chaired by Professor You Yinglong, Chairman of the Foundation, and invited by Ding Tingyu, Lin Zhuoshui, Yang Xianhong, etc.Experts participated in the discussion.

Regarding the tendency of the Taiwanese people to support political parties, the polls also asked: “Taiwan currently has two major parties, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang, and there are several smaller parties such as the Taiwan People’s Party, the Times Forces, the People’s First Party and the Taiwan Foundation. Among all the political parties, which one do you personally support the most? ” Turns out that30.6%Progressive Democratic Party,16.7%Nationalist Party of China,14.2%Taiwan People’s Party,7.1%The power of the times5%Taiwan Foundation,2.9%Total of other parts,22%He did not support any particular party,1.5%I don’t know, refuse to answer.

Compared to last month, the number of DPP supporters has decreased1.3Percentage points. KMT supporters decreased4.5Percentage points, the number of supporters of the Taiwan People’s Party increased5.1Percentage points, the power of the times increased slightly1.1Percentage points, Taiwan base also slightly increased0.6Percentage points, but jumped to five percent for the first time. Less neutral voters2.5Percentage points.

The foundation noted that, in general,2020By the end of the year, the support of the two main parties, the DPP and the Kuomintang, waned, in particular the Kuomintang.4.5Noteworthy percentage points: Due to declining support from the two main parties, several smaller parties have benefited, especially the popular party.5.1The percentage points are the most prominent, showing that a significant mutual circulation has begun to appear between the Kuomintang and the supporters of the People’s Party.

You Yinglong said the People’s Party rose this time5.1%For the first time in history, it is reasonable to judge that the vast majority come from those who previously supported the KMT. There has been a mutual mobility between the Kuomintang and the People’s Party. The characterization of the Popular Party has changed from independent voters with light blue and light green supporters to a little more blue. Similarly, the Power of the Times has benefited from the decline of the Democratic Progressive Party and the size of neutral voters has shrunk a bit, allowing the two small green parties, Power of the Times and the Fundamental Progressive Party.

Ding Tingyu said that the Kuomintang has not clearly seen today that it is really going to be devoured by the People’s Party. Of course, the Kuomintang has a traditional party. If you cannot distinguish between policies to attract your voters, it is very dangerous. Believes that the Kuomintang is now unable to deal with Ke Wenzhe, has1/4TO1/3Supporters of the Popular Party may be attracted. As for whether the People’s Party can overtake the KMT, Ding Tingyu said that the People’s Party has to open the light green votes.

For this survey, You Yinglong, Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, was responsible for questionnaire design, report writing, interpretation of research results, and analysis of related public policies and policy implications; Shanshui Public Opinion Research Company was commissioned by the foundation and was primarily responsible for the sample design, telephone interviews, and statistical analysis. .During the visit2020year12month21-22Two days; for adults over 20 years of age nationwide; The sampling method is based on the sample structure of national residential telephone users, with systematic sampling plus random sampling of two codes; valid sample1071People; the sampling error lies in95%About more or less below the confidence level2.99Percentage points. And according to the latest demographic data from the Ministry of the Interior, it is weighted by region, gender, age and educational level to make up the maternal structure. The source of funding is the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation.

Support from the Popular Party jumped 5% in one movement, just 2.5% from the KMT. The president of the foundation, You Yinglong, believes that the People’s Party has moved from the middle, light blue and light green to a little blue; and academic Ding Tingyu warned the KMT that it is dangerous for the People’s Party to gradually eat him up if he cannot play Ke Wenzhe now.