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Although Biden’s support is greater than Trump’s, it is mainly in the blue state that he would have voted for him. It is not very useful when converting to votes. Image: Obtained from Facebook of Biden and Trump / synthesis of the new head shell
The United States will hold general elections next Tuesday. Starting on the 12th of this month, IBD / TIPP, which tracks elections every day, announced the latest findings earlier, stating that while Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has always topped national polls, but the gap between two parties in the transitional state is very small, and the final vote count may lose to Donald Trump, who is seeking re-election. It’s worth noting that 50% of Hispanic voters and 49% of Catholics support Trump, which is higher than Biden’s.
Four years ago, IBD / TIPP was one of the only voting agencies to successfully predict that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton. Therefore, IBD / TIPP is known as the most accurate survey in the United States.
The latest poll results released by IBD / TIPP on the 30th found that Biden leads 44.9% of Trump with a 50.5% approval rate in the United States. However, if you look closely, you will find that Biden’s lead ratio cannot be converted into too many votes: Biden leads Trump by 26% in traditionally Democratic states, while Trump leads Biden by 11% in states. traditionally pro Republican. . Because the United States adopts the polling station system, in each state, the winners get all the electoral votes for that state. In each state, 0.01% more and 20% more results are the same.
What is really terrible are the undecided states that do not have a fixed support for which party. Whoever gets the majority in these states, the votes they get can decide who will die in the end. The latest survey results released by IBD / TIPP on the 30th showed that public support from both parties in the transition state is 48% to 48%, which is difficult to distinguish.
It’s worth noting that in swing states like Florida, the Hispanic voter population is sizable. In the past, Hispanic voters were more supportive of the Democratic Party, but according to the breakdown released yesterday by IBD / TIPP, 50% of Hispanics support Trump, which is higher than Biden’s 48.4%.
Biden is the first Catholic after Kennedy to become president of the United States. However, the majority of Catholics support Protestant Trump (49%) rather than Biden (46.5%) of the same faith.
In addition to Catholics, other Christian groups also support Trump (Protestants 53.6% versus 43.1%, other Christian denominations 54.5% versus 44.8%); non-Christians support Biden (38% versus 52.8%). Those who have no faith also support Biden more (22.9% versus 73.4%).
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