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(Just added: statement from Wu Derong)
Typhoon Mesa intensified to a moderate typhoon at 8 p.m. yesterday (8/29). Meteorological Office forecaster Zhang Chengchuan noted that Mesa has started to move faster and its intensity continues to increase. It is currently forecast to reach the upper limit of central Taiwan and has a chance to become the strongest typhoon this year. From the second half of tomorrow (31/8) to the first half of Tuesday (1/9) To be closer to Taiwan and the most severe time, there will be some short-term rains in the north and northeast, and may even have heavy local rains.
According to typhoon news announced by the Met Office, downtown Mesa is on the sea surface 1040 kilometers southeast of Eluanbi at 2 o’clock this morning, moving north at a speed of 16 hours per hour. . The maximum wind speed near the center is 40 meters per second, and the maximum gust instantaneous. It is 53 meters per second, the radius of the seventh storm is 150 kilometers, and the radius of the tenth storm is 50 kilometers.
Today’s weather is still mostly cloudy to sunny, with thunderstorms in the afternoon. In the afternoon there will be local rains or thunderstorms in the mountainous areas, and some flat areas will also be affected. Pay attention to the possibility of local heavy rains in the central and southern regions. In terms of temperature, when it doesn’t rain the temperature is still high, between 33 and 35 ° C everywhere.
Forecaster Liu Peiteng analyzed last night that the probability of a direct attack from Typhoon Mesa is low, but the forecast is still long and we must continue to watch. Affected by its external circulation on Monday and Tuesday, the northern and northeastern parts of the country will have brief local rains and there will be opportunities for heavy local rains, while other areas will be cloudy with torrential rains in the afternoon. On Wednesday (September 2), Typhoon Mesa was far out to sea off Taiwan. All of Taiwan is expected to be cloudy next Saturday (September 5), with short rains in the north, northeast and other mountainous areas in the afternoon.
Wu Derong, an adjunct adjunct professor in the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at Chuo University, noted in an interview with Apple News today that according to the latest forecast, Zhongtai Meisha passed roughly from Ryukyu to Miyakojima, then turned north and northeast of South Korea through the East China Sea, and would not directly invade Taiwan, but as the environment is suitable for development, the simulation of the model will be rapidly improved and exceed the intensity of the two typhoons, such as Bawei and Hornets, and will have a chance to become the strongest station this year. Model simulations from other countries show that there will be a tropical disturbance on the sea surface in southern Japan in the second half of the week. There is an opportunity to develop this year’s 10th typhoon “Haishen (called in China)”. It is estimated that it will invade Japan directly, but we have yet to watch.
According to Wu Derong’s analysis, most places are sunny and cloudy during the day, but the atmosphere is still unstable. There will be local rains or thunderstorms in the mountains in the afternoon. Although Mesa does not invade Taiwan, there will be some short showers tonight on the north coast and the northeast corner on the windward side. On Monday and Tuesday, affected by the external circulation of the typhoon, the cloudiness of northern Taiwan was affected mainly by rains, while the influence of central and southern Taiwan was small. There were still brief showers or local thunderstorms in the afternoon. On Wednesday, the typhoon turned to the southwest. There were local rains or thunderstorms in the central and southern parts of the country. The northern and eastern parts were sunny and scorching. The high temperature rose to more than 36 ℃. From Thursday to Saturday, the wind turned northeast with a lot of water vapor. Showers or thunderstorms are more likely in the afternoon, temperatures in several places drop slightly, and the weather in northern Taiwan turns cooler.
Post time: 00:13
Update time: 09:10