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In the 2020 US presidential election, while many states are over, some key states have stopped in the middle, because election staff were exhausted by midnight. They washed up and went to sleep, and continued to open the next day. Vote by mail.
Most of the states that have suspended voting and are awaiting mail-in ballots are currently led by Trump. If they no longer use the mailed ballots, Trump may be re-elected as president. This is also why Trump’s “great victory” press conference today will suddenly say that he expects the US Supreme Court to order a halt to the counting of votes, because there is a “great fraud in voting by mail” .
Grab the “rust belt” of at least 48 electoral votes
Currently, the United States states that have not finished voting are: Wisconsin (10 electoral votes), Michigan (16), Pennsylvania (20), North Carolina (15), Georgia (16), and Nevada (6).
Among them, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin (PMW for short), the three swing states with 46 electoral votes, accounted for more than half of unopened electoral votes and are in the “rust belt.” The so-called “rust belt” refers to the area from the Great Lakes region to the east coast of the United States that once developed industrially, but gradually declined and rusted.
In the presidential election four years ago, Trump held up the “America First” flag and moved Rust Belt voters and cast their votes for Trump. However, this year due to Wuhan pneumonia, 220,000 people died in the United States. I don’t like Trump, so whether the “rust belt” will fall to Biden has also become the focus of attention.
Biden, who was leading the “rust belt” polls, greatly reduced support for Biden because of Trump’s words.
During the Pennsylvania campaign, Trump declared that if Biden were elected, he would ban the water pressure cracking method to extract gasoline. Roughly 50,000 people in Pennsylvania depend on this for their livelihood. After Trump’s words came out, not just Pennsylvania, but even people in neighboring states suspected that Biden would restrict industrial development and put their lives in trouble and questioned to Biden.
Biden’s “Sleepy Joe” field relied on pre-election polls, believing victory was at hand and did not try to dispel rumors (on the one hand, he was concerned that he was afraid of damaging the votes of environmental groups). The backlog of the votes.
Among the current electoral votes, Biden leads Trump with 238 votes to 213 votes, but Biden is far from the 270 votes needed to win the election, and there is still a gap of 32 votes. is very good. He can come from behind to defeat Biden.
Billing data for the 2020 US presidential elections. According to the latest “FOX NEWS” report, Biden has 238 votes and Trump has 213 votes. Billing is still ongoing and the final number of votes is subject to the official announcement from the United States Image: New production of headgear
Why is voting by mail good for Biden?
In this election, 100 million people in the United States voted early by November 3, and approximately two-thirds of voters used vote-by-mail. Election watchers believe that the early voting portion is particularly unfavorable for Republican elections because:
- Democrats are used to voting early, while Republicans like to vote until Election Day.
- Many people who will vote early will choose to vote by mail because they fear getting the new corona pneumonia when they get out. Voters who fear new crown pneumonia are likely to disagree with Trump’s epidemic prevention work, making them unlikely to be Trump voters. This is also the main reason why Trump has always emphasized the downsides of voting by mail and has advocated for voting by mail not to be counted.
Red Hope VS Blue Miracle
On the eve of voting day, election observers presented the slogan of red hope versus blue miracle.
The so-called red hope refers to the votes cast by many states on the third day. Since Republican supporters mostly choose to vote on the same day, Trump will take the lead as soon as the popular vote is released. It appears that reelection is expected. Because the Trump Republican Party uses red as the main color, it is also called Red Hope.
Judging from the states that have yet to complete the popular vote, there is really strong red hope.
So what is the blue miracle? It’s that after the votes for the Democratic Party have been cast by mail, Biden can hope to “reverse the victory” in the popular vote and win electoral votes in some states.
In mailed US Presidential elections, Biden supporters are generally believed to account for the majority of mailed ballots Image: Readers / Provided
Today, some states have gradually begun to extract electoral votes. According to the latest New Head Shell report, Biden is already ahead of Trump in the popular vote in Wisconsin and Michigan.
It has not yet been decided whether Biden will win the 270 electoral votes for the electoral threshold. The only certainty is that even if Biden succeeds, Trump, who refuses to admit defeat, will definitely fight Biden in an election lawsuit. All the way to the Supreme Court, perhaps the next president of the United States will be the same as Bush’s showdown with Gore in 2000. It really won’t materialize until December.
Most of the states that have suspended voting and are awaiting mail-in ballots are currently led by Trump. If they no longer use the mailed ballots, Trump may be re-elected as president.
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin (PMW for short), these three swing states with 46 electoral votes, accounted for more than half of the unopened electoral votes, and are in the “rust belt.”
The “Rust Belt” area of the United States. Image: Retrieved from talkelections.org
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