New York Times: China could be Biden’s nightmare, the Dongsha Islands, the Golden Gate or the “new Cuban crisis” | International | New speech

Journalist and “New York Times” columnist Nicholas Kristof wrote on the 1st that the war between the United States and China may not happen. If there is a military conflict, it may be on the Dongsha or Kinmen Islands. The probability has increased to more than ten years. The highest, it will become the most dangerous nuclear confrontation incident in the United States since the Cuban missile crisis. Ji Sidao believes that Joe Biden’s challenge is to contain a Chinese leader who represses Hong Kong, commits genocide in Xinjiang, is stubborn about trade, ignores human rights, and lacks sincerity in all matters, while at the same time face the weather. China on issues such as exchange, drugs and North Korea In addition, there is currently no complete Chinese strategy.

Ji Sidao said in the article that the war between the United States and China may not happen, but if it does, the location may be the Dongsha or Kinmen islands. In addition, China can also use submarines to cut Taiwan’s submarine cables. network or prevent oil imports, or even damage the banking system with cyberattacks. Although most experts believe that the possibility of a large-scale invasion of Taiwan is small, the probability of conflict between Dongsha and Kinmen is the highest in more than a decade. Ji Sidao went on to point out that the United States must work harder to prevent international wars in Asia. “Part of the reason is that Xi Jinping is an adventurous and overconfident overlord. He thinks the United States is in decline.”

Ji Sidao mentioned that Bonnie Glaser from the Center for Strategic and International Studies believes that the military confrontation is unlikely, but is also concerned that it is a misjudgment, just as no one expected the CCP to provoke border conflicts between China and India multiple times. . If Beijing starts a war with the United States in such a reckless manner against Taiwan, “then we can only ask God to bless us.”

Ji Sidao noted that for Biden, dealing with Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell is a “no brainer” than dealing with Xi Jinping. The newly appointed Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently declared that he would adopt a “tougher attitude” towards China. However, Republicans believe that Chinese politics is the weak point of the current administration. Republican Senator Ted Cruz once condemned “Biden’s team supports the Chinese Communist Party.” Ji Sidao believes that the simultaneous tough attitude of the two sides towards China has compressed the space for diplomacy and made him nervous.

Ji Sidao finally stated that in the past “Tiananmen Incident of June 4”, when Chinese troops fired on protesters, he was in Tiananmen Square. “I have no illusions about Beijing, but I am concerned that the two sides are colliding head-on at full speed.” The reasons include: The United States is used to exaggerating foreign threats, both in the Arab world, the Southeast domino theory Asian and the theme of “Japan No. 1”. The United States must respond to China with humility. it is a complex and contradictory place, not as simple as a cartoon. Separate Xi Jinping from China, criticize the first, instead of demonizing the second. Some senior Chinese officials privately denounced Xi Jinping as “a lunatic,” so the United States should avoid offending the entire country. Finally, Biden should condemn the cultural genocide in Xinjiang. But don’t seek to boycott the 2022 Beijing Winter Games and strengthen ties with Taiwan, but don’t provoke Xi Jinping without provocation like the Trump administration has in the past. You can also cooperate with China to reduce the risk of accidents.

Ji Sidao (Nicholas Kristof) wrote on day 1 that if there is a military conflict, it may be on the Dongsha or Kinmen islands.

Ji Sidao believes that the challenge for Joe Biden is that in the face of a Chinese leader who ignores human rights and lacks sincerity in everything, his colleagues must cooperate with China on climate change.

Ji Sidao went on to point out that the United States must work harder to prevent international wars in Asia. “Part of the reason is that Xi Jinping is an overly confident and adventurous overlord. He believes America is in decline.”