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Taichung Mayor Lu Xiuyan temporarily changed the closed-door meeting that had been negotiated with AIT in public and questioned the case of the US pigs on the spot. AIT rarely issued a subsequent statement emphasizing that “political figures spread false information and caused unfounded anxiety. It is not helpful.” In terms of political affairs, Lu Xiuyan is certainly looking into the niche of a local elected mayor. Right now, before the media, he is an “anti-American pig” against AIT officials, which has the effect of strengthening the cohesion of supporters. The line of the so-called Kuomintang towards the United States belongs to the issue of those who are interested in high-level (presidential) voters, and those who have the ability to advance to the top should also have the ability to bring back their “anti-American” movement this time.
From the perspective of partisan disputes, “anti-American pigs” is indeed the DPP’s presentation to the KMT, but even the poll by the “Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation” (Nov. 24) shows that nearly 70% of the people It is anti-American. Pig imports, but the satisfaction of the Soviet cabinet is still above 50%. Even with the addition of Zhongtian’s withdrawal effect, Tsai Ing-wen still received 54.6% satisfaction in the survey published by Foresight magazine on December 16.
Compared to the first appointment of Tsai Ing-wen, it was affected by the controversy over the annual reforms and the case of the same marriage. His reputation was almost like a free fall. According to polls conducted by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation at the time, Tsai Ing-wen had less than a year in power and was satisfied. It fell below 30%. It stands to reason that nearly 50% of the people oppose Tsai Ing-wen’s same-sex marriage case and the annual reform case, which is enough to make her feel ashamed. Why are almost 70% of the people opposed to importing American pigs, so that the KMT’s anti-American pig problems can gradually increase? With the support of more than 20% of the political parties, “the general public is so anti-American,” but hasn’t his ruling reputation been reduced much?
Of course, there is a comprehensive public assessment of the official epidemic prevention performance in the past year, but it also means that between Taiwan and the United States, most people are waiting and watching for new possibilities. The Tsai Ing-wen government has actively or passively created these possibilities. She is in charge of governing right now. Maintaining prestige under the “American Pig Case” means that people still have positive expectations for the future development of Taiwan-US relations, and at least have expectations of good development. It shouldn’t be too much.
In the past four years under the Trump administration, despite the signing of a series of pro-Taiwan bills and establishing the second-highest number of arms sales to Taiwan by the Bush administration, they have always been considered as “a political symbol but with insufficient real benefits.” Even if the United States sacrifices its Indo-Pacific strategy to contain China and includes Taiwan as part of its containment, relations between Taiwan and the US are “incredibly good,” but there are still real things to be resolved. For example, it has been signed since 1995. The Taiwan-United States Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA) which was shelved due to the problems of US cattle and pigs. The DPP was accused of turning its forks to open the pig . For the DPP, he believed that he was removing the first landmine that was hindering TIFA’s movement. If people don’t accept the DPP’s rhetoric of “getting into American pigs and demolishing landmines,” that’s why there is such a high proportion of “anti-American pigs,” and then they claim that the DPP ignores public opinion, then I I’m afraid it’s a fall Just look at the blind spot of the question “Do you agree with the Cai government to open imports of US pigs containing clenbuterol (ractopamine)”.
This type of black-and-white dichotomy of public opinion is often found in princely elections, in which victory or defeat is often determined by “a single issue.” The problem is related to the interests of the country as a whole. Intuitive “popular opinion” is like that, but the “popular mind” is likely to have other ideas. Looking back at the Han Yu phenomenon in 2019, it has been explained a bit.
That is, Hanguo Yu assumed the position of mayor of Kaohsiung and immediately went to Singapore, Malaysia and other places to negotiate the signing of memorandums of understanding. The total amount was 9.3 billion yuan. Regardless of the subsequent implementation rate, for the mayor of Kaohsiung, of course, it’s a dazzling report card. In the same period, he personally went to Hong Kong to sell agricultural products and signed a 2.471 billion yuan memorandum of understanding, which again took support for Hanguo Yu’s party to a new level and eventually led Hanguo Yu to run for president.
But only because he stood up to compete for the position of “national politics” did the problem arise. Due to his visit to Hong Kong, he said he did not talk about politics before and after, and that it was just an “emotional business and economic tour. However, after meeting with Executive Director Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor, she entered the CCP Liaison Office at the Governor of Hong Kong and spoke for two hours behind closed doors. . So from the moment he left the Central Committee Liaison Office, the CCP’s “food policy” has been lingering on him. All doubts point to “How much money did Han Yu sign in Hong Kong? Even if everything is in place in the end, Taiwan How much autonomy is China? When economic and political autonomy is opened, what price will he pay? Can the sale of fruits and vegetables be offset? “
This is the inevitable doubt that ordinary people have about the future development of the country. Everyone thinks of “making a fortune.” The key is that everyone knows that there is no free lunch in the world. What is the price? Not to mention that the subsequent anti-shipment movement was in full swing, directly distorting the consensus 92 that Han Yu wanted to justify himself.
So if the CCP’s experience in Hong Kong makes Taiwanese more cautious about the CCP’s efforts to benefit United Front Taiwan, should the “American pig” have the same concerns? However, it is very likely that the results will be different because the program is exactly the opposite.
Before Tsai Ing-wen announced the opening of the US pigs, the US followed the previous “Taiwan Travel Law”, “National Defense Authorization Law” and “Peace of Mind of Asia” of arms sales, secret administrative visits, visits to Taiwan by the Under Secretary of the State Council and visits to Taiwan by the Minister of Health. The Proposed Law or “Taiwan Law” etc. are the first to highlight Taiwan’s international participation status and counter the CCP’s restriction of Taiwan space, which is in line with the recognized “political symbol” by most people in Taiwan. Talk about “economic issues” at the expense of some benefits.
With the current social situation in Taiwan that largely recognizes subjective awareness, coupled with the continuing negative effects of Hong Kong’s Chinese governance, the current model of “politics and economics” in the United States, although the part of “economy “It is not clear yet, it is a more acceptable way. It even largely refutes the need for China’s long-term “surrounding policy” with Taiwan, thinking that any economic and commercial development in Taiwan must be done under the threat of compromising state sovereignty.
It can be seen from this that Lu Xiuyan drowned the anti-American pigs with AIT in front of the media. He really didn’t care that much. He did not care about the current thinking variation of Taiwan’s economic and trade policy with China and the United States. Of course, he did not care about the Kuomintang line to the United States. And the other people around that will be running for president. Promoting yourself has always been one of the hallmarks of Taiwan’s regional governor, which also means that she is fully preparing for 2022.
※ The author is the main editor of “Report”
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