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The interaction between Brinken, Sullivan and Taiwan
11/25/2020 05:30
Biden Announces First Wave of New Staff Design
[Reportero Lu Yixuan / Taipei Report]US President-elect Biden announced major staffing arrangements on the 23rd, including former Under Secretary of State Blincoln as secretary of state, and staff member Sullivan as national security adviser to the White House and other diplomatic teams. Scholars believe this staffing arrangement shows that the United States will return to international organizations, rebuild leadership, and strengthen relationships with allies. When it comes to Taiwan, the Biden administration will value Taiwan’s valuable achievements, and its policy toward Taiwan will not change, including arms sales, security cooperation, and high-level visits. It will continue, “it won’t back down” and it doesn’t have to be too pessimistic.Biden’s team announced the first wave of important personnel, including diplomatic adviser Blincol as Secretary of State, former Vice President National Security Adviser Sullivan as White House National Security Adviser, former Assistant Secretary of State Thomas-Greenfield as Ambassador of The United States to the United Nations and the former Under Secretary for National Security. Mallorca became Minister of National Security and Haynes, the former Deputy National Security Advisor, will become the first female National Intelligence Chief (DNI), etc. Most of them will be members of the Obama administration.
Pay attention to the value of Taiwan
What kind of foreign policy will Brinken and Sullivan shape? According to the analysis of Wang Hongren, Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at National Chengchi University, from recent articles written by these two people, it can be found that their understanding of China or the US perspective is different from that of the Republican Party, but both admit that China threatens America’s Asia-Pacific interests. His opinion is that the good development of China under globalization is already part of the interests of the United States, and the focus is on living with it and maintaining competition and resistance in coexistence; for the United States itself, it is focused on rebuilding its leadership and communicating with old allies, but To rebuild the regional and global order, the United States must return to international organizations and establish and consolidate rules.
For Taiwan, Wang Hongren believes that the future foreign policy of the Biden administration will give importance to Taiwan’s achievements in values such as democracy, human rights and the freedom to compare China’s actions in Xinjiang and Hong Kong. The United States will continue to require Taiwan to integrate its regional system and national economic and trade conditions, including increasing the degree of openness to Taiwan’s domestic market. Sooner or later, the United States and China will begin economic and trade talks, but the United States will not engage with China in the “One China Policy” or negotiate Taiwan’s interests, and at best it will reiterate the existing “One China Policy.”
Meet with the group to rebuild leadership
Yan Zhensheng, associate professor in the Political Department of National Chengchi University, noted that these two are “veterans” in the field of diplomacy, and their behavior style will reduce their personal touch and take internal actions. Biden’s grooming also reflects the “correctness” style. He hopes that the past situation that Trump has offended allies due to his nonconformist actions can be redressed. Interaction with allies is expected to increase, and it will also seek cooperation from China on issues such as the weather or the fight against terrorism. space.
Regarding the future situation, Yan Zhensheng believes that Biden will “join the group” and return to international organizations while continuing to support Taiwan. Taiwan may be less capable of hearing anti-Chinese emotional language, but US policy toward Taiwan will not change. Including arms sales, security cooperation and high-level visits, etc., it will continue and may not necessarily outgrow, but it will “not back down”, and there is no need to be too pessimistic.
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