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The U.S. presidential vote came to an end and Biden was elected president Lin Wenchengjin(9)Japan joked that if it weren’t for Wuhan pneumonia, Trump should be re-elected without a hitch, and Beijing eventually came up with a way to get Trump to resign. As for Trump’s policy toward China going forward, scholars believe that Biden should move from Trump’s unilateralism to multilateralism.
China National Policy Research Institute Asia-Pacific Elite Exchange AssociationCelebrated todaySymposium “New International Office after the US elections”。
In an interview, Su Ziyun, director of military strategy and industry at the National Defense Security Research Institute, said that from the perspective of the US Democratic Party, Obama was already returning to Asia during the Obama era. At the time, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Secretary of Defense Gates were really concerned about the Indo-Pacific region. The alliance of allies has begun to take shape. The Trump administration carried out its Indo-Pacific strategy on this basis. If you then log into the main White House, your Indo-Pacific or return to Asia strategy should be called “return to Asia.2.1Version”.
Su Ziyun said that under this context, arms sales to Taiwan should not change. First, the arms sales announced by the Trump administration to Taiwan will not change; second, the Biden administration’s follow-up arms sales to Taiwan should not be returned. In particular, under the premise of the Taiwan Relations Act and the six guarantees, the definition of defensive weapons has been relaxed compared to before, that is, to provide a dynamic military balance for the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
Su Ziyun said that regarding the problems of climate change and energy and food problems caused by population growth, the Biden administration can adopt a cooperative attitude with China.
The Oversight Committee and Sun Yat-Sen University Asia-Pacific Institute Distinguished Professor Lin Wencheng said that there has never been fierce competition in this changing state in the past, especially the impact of communication voting. In addition to the presidential elections, we must also be concerned with the results of the elections for the Senate and the United States House of Representatives. The Republican Party will still have a majority in the Senate, the House of Representatives may still have a majority in the Democratic Party, and Congress will be divided.
Lin Wencheng said Trump would be re-elected without issue if it weren’t for Wuhan pneumonia. Beijing finally invented a way to get Trump to resign.
Regarding US foreign policy, Lin Wencheng said, because Taiwan’s position in the first island chain forces the United States to continue supporting Taiwan. If you look closely at his campaign announcement, you firmly affirm Taiwan’s democratic development and brilliant performance against Wuhan pneumonia.
But on the Chinese side, Lin Wencheng said it could cooperate with China on the part of curbing nuclear proliferation or climate change. However, the tariffs imposed by China will not be canceled in the short term.
Lin Wencheng said that China expects Biden to be elected in this general election, so it will give Biden a honeymoon period, but China’s long-term intimidation of Taiwan will not change.
Lai Yizhong, an advisory member of the Taiwan think tank, said that the tough US policy towards China is a common policy of the Republican and Democratic parties. But Biden will be tough against China, but will Trump be tough? No strict countermeasures should be taken. Will support for Taiwan be stronger than Trump’s? It shouldn’t be treated like Trump’s high-intensity, high-volume methods.
Zhang Wuyue, director of the Cross-Strait Relations Research Center at Tamkang University, said that China is very concerned about the US presidential elections, but that officials and the media, such as the People’s Daily , they’re not talking about the US election at all.This low-key unusual needs to be considered.
Zhang Wuyue said that they believe this US election is even, which is a division of society. There were big differences between the two sides during the electoral process, but the only consensus was China’s politics. Second, the dominant public opinion in the divided United States has an anti-China base. Biden’s policy in China will not change dramatically under the weak president.
Zhang Wuyue said that from his think tanks like Yafu Sun, regardless of any change in the US political situation, the issue of treating China as a strategic opponent and obstructing reunification with Taiwan will not change. The difference is unilateralism or the establishment of a common united front with allies to contain China. What Beijing faces is a United States that has returned to international organizations and repaired relations with allies.
Luo Zhizheng, director of the DPP’s Department of International Affairs and a legislator, said that any regime change will definitely bring adjustments and changes to policies. But there won’t be a big 180 degree change. There will be uncertainty, but because Biden has said a lot in the past, it is also traditional diplomatic thinking and there is some predictability.
As for how Biden’s team views China, Luo Zhizheng said that China is rising and moving towards authoritarianism. It is becoming increasingly difficult for ethnic minorities and Hong Kong. There is not much difference in this opinion within the United States. At present, no one should consider China as a partner, and it is difficult to go back to where you and I were under the “interaction” policy of the past. It is the current hegemony versus a rising hegemony. It represents a certain threat and challenge to the United States.
Luo Zhizheng said the Biden administration should move from Trump’s unilateralism to multilateralism. And Taiwan should not be absent from the future political debate between the United States and China or Asia-Pacific.
The US presidential vote came to an end and Biden was elected president. Academician Lin Wencheng joked today (9) that if it weren’t for Wuhan pneumonia, Trump should be re-elected without a hitch, and Beijing finally invented a way to get Trump to resign. As for Trump’s policy toward China going forward, scholars believe that Biden should move from Trump’s unilateralism to multilateralism.
The Oversight Committee and Sun Yat-Sen University Asia-Pacific Institute Distinguished Professor Lin Wencheng said that there has never been fierce competition in this changing state in the past, especially the impact of communication voting. In addition to the presidential elections, we also need to be concerned about the results of the US Senate and House of Representatives elections. The Republican Party will still have a majority in the Senate, the House of Representatives may still have a majority in the Democratic Party, and Congress will be divided.
Su Ziyun, Director of Strategy and Military Industry, National Defense Security Research Institute Image: Lin Chaoyi / photo
Tian Hongmao, president and dean of the National Institute for Policy Research Image: Lin Chaoyi / photo
Zhang Wuyue, Director of the Research Center for Cross-Strait Relations at Tamkang University Image: Lin Chaoyi / photo
Lai Yizhong, Advisory Member of the Taiwan Expert Group Image: Lin Chaoyi / Photo
Song Wendi, a researcher at the Australian Center for Global Studies in China Image: Lin Chaoyi / photo
DPP legislator Luo Zhizheng Image: Lin Chaoyi / photo
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