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Judging from the satellite cloud image, the lightning on the sea surface in southeast Taiwan has entered the saddle field and rotated in place because there is no direct air current.Image: Central Meteorological Office / provided
Northeast wind began to affect Taiwan yesterday (2), and northern Taiwan turned wet and cold today (3). From tonight until dawn tomorrow (4), this wave of northeast wind and cold air is the strongest period. The low temperature is 19 to 21 degrees. The temperature in open areas will be lower. Peng Qiming, a meteorologist, said that there were many possible lightning trajectories in the past, which will affect Taiwan’s weekend weather. “If a typhoon approaches the eastern half of Taiwan on Friday, of course all of Taiwan will be on alert and there will be significant rains everywhere.”
Peng Qiming noted that there are currently floating rains in Taoyuan, north of Hsinchu and Yilan, and the temperature has dropped slightly. The open area in the north has also dropped to 18 to 19 degrees. The metropolitan area is still 20 degrees. The south of the central zone is still relatively stable. Variety. In recent days, the northeast wind has been a bit strong, especially in the coastal areas. The eastern half of the wind and waves are also a bit strong. The temperature during the day is cooler in the north, the maximum temperature is 23 to 24 degrees at noon, 28 to 29 degrees in the central and southern parts, and 24 degrees in the eastern half. At 26 degrees; Similar weather is expected to continue into the early morning hours tomorrow, and the northeast wind will weaken somewhat tomorrow, with more cloudiness in the northern and eastern half.
The Lightning Lightning, which concerns everyone the most, is currently in the sea about 700 kilometers southeast of the southern tip of Taiwan. In recent days, it has been suppressed by the swan of China and Taiwan, so its development has been weak. Going into the saddle field tomorrow, that is, the bottom of the two high pressures, will remain in place.
Peng Qiming said typhoon lightning started moving west on Thursday (5), and then the high pressure from the Pacific strengthened, driving west, possibly passing near the Bashi Channel; the latest forecasts have a tendency to gradually revise towards the north. Even some route predictions still have a chance to hit Taiwan directly, showing that the typhoon forecast on Thursday and Friday (6) still has a lot of room for change, which will also affect the weather in Taiwan from Friday to the end of week, and there are more variables.
Peng Qiming recalled that if a typhoon approaches the eastern half of Taiwan on Friday, of course all of Taiwan will be on alert. There will be heavy rains everywhere, especially in the eastern half. Pay special attention. If you go straight into the bus strait, you should look at the center of the typhoon. Towards the island of Luzon or the southern tip of Taiwan, if the center passes between the two and the storm circle passes through the Bashi Channel, a maritime typhoon warning is likely to be issued. Right now, the typhoon ring is to the north or south, 50 to 100 kilometers away. Sometimes it is much worse.
The typhoon’s peripheral circulation will also affect the eastern half. Heavy rains and unstable weather are expected in the eastern half from Huadong to the Hengchun Peninsula. It will continue until Saturday (7). This is the majority forecast Possible result: The northeast wind is expected to strengthen again next Sunday (8). The typhoon is already far off, and the time for two significant side effects has passed. It is difficult for the two different systems of the north and south to touch each other directly.
Peng Qiming emphasized that the typhoon lightning variables still exist, and only a day or two can be used to observe the trend, especially if the maritime police is issued or the typhoon is very close to Taiwan, the alert level is very different. Some tuning preparations, don’t panic, but prepare for your tweaks beforehand.
Guan Xinping, a forecaster with the Central Meteorological Office, said that the current lightning bolts linger and twist, the probability of passing west near the Bashi Canal is estimated to be higher, from Thursday night to Friday, but the uncertainty remains relatively large. On Fridays and Saturdays, northeast winds blow and the typhoon’s outer cloud system increases humidity. There are brief rains in the eastern half and the Hengchun Peninsula, and there is the possibility of heavy local rains. There are also short local rains in the north. Others The area is cloudy to sunny, but the actual amount of water still depends on the location of the typhoon.
As for whether it is possible to issue a typhoon warning on the high seas? Guan Xinping pointed out that any situation is possible, and it still depends on the future location, trajectory and intensity of the typhoon. The Met Office currently estimates that the typhoon will be completed after Wednesday, and it can be decided on Thursday and Friday to see how it goes. Regarding the intensity of the typhoon, the environment is not conducive to the growth of the typhoon due to the influence of the cold air from the north, so the intensity should be kept as a mild typhoon.
It has been predicted that lightning in the past will have many possible paths, which will also affect the weekend weather in Taiwan. “If the typhoon approaches the eastern half of Taiwan on Friday, of course, all of Taiwan will be on alert.
It shows that the typhoon forecast for Thursday and Friday (6) still has a large room for change, which will also affect the weather in Taiwan from Friday to weekend, and there are many variables.
At present, the beam is stranded and the probability of passing west near the Bashi Canal is estimated to be higher. The weather will drop from Thursday night to Friday, but it is still uncertain.
The Bureau of Meteorology is currently predicting the future path of Lightning Lightning, with a clearer direction expected through Thursday and Friday.Image: Central Weather Bureau / provided
The northeast wind strengthened today and the Weather Bureau issued a special report on high road winds at 9:50 a.m. for 18 counties and cities Image: Central Weather Bureau / provided
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