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According to a new poll by the Des Moines Register / Selzer and Co. in Iowa, President Trump leads Democratic opponent Biden by 48% to 41%.
CNN News Network noted on Day 1 that the average poll in Iowa showed Trump’s approval rating increased by 2 percentage points. To be clear and clear, the key point is that Biden currently has the upper hand in the White House aspiration. She is ahead of the rocking state that must be mastered to win 270 electoral votes, and the lead is greater than Hillary’s 4 years ago. Still big.
However, the Selzer poll broke this rule. If the relevant polls are correct, Trump’s situation is much better than is generally thought, and this presidential campaign may be even more even than many people expected. The analysis pointed out that Biden’s path to getting 270 electoral votes hardly passes through Iowa, but if Biden’s performance in Iowa isn’t much better than Hillary Clinton’s, then Democrats may have to worry. It doesn’t go anywhere else. Where will it be better?
In fact, Trump has a clear advantage in Iowa, which may indicate that Biden is also in trouble in key Midwestern states like Michigan and Wisconsin. However, the average survey in Iowa shows that this election is so close that it is difficult to distinguish the result. In recent weeks, many polls have shown either Biden or Trump to be slightly ahead or behind.
The Selzer poll will scare the Democratic Party and rekindle hope for the Republican Party because of the history of four years ago. In 2016, the Selzer poll showed that Trump also led by 7 percentage points, eventually winning by 9 more percentage points. Also, just like 4 years ago, this poll appeared when Trump encountered the dilemma of polls in other states.
Indeed, in 2016, Selzer was not afraid to release the seemingly “challenging” polls, but it turned out to be correct. It was not the only time, already in the 2008 elections. But the analysis also pointed out that, although Selzer is a large polling agency, it has also made mistakes. After all, voting agencies are not wizards, the point is that good voting agencies are willing to reveal their distinctive results.
(Zhongshi News Network)
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