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The Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation announced the latest poll today. The three most popular politicians in Taiwan are President Tsai Ing-wen, New Taipei City Mayor Hou Youyi, and Vice President Lai Qingde. The gap between Hou and Lai is only one percentage point.
In addition, the second term of President Tsai Ing-wen has been in office for 5 months. According to the latest results of today’s poll (27), 15.8% fully agree and 40.8% still agree with their way of handling national affairs (including important personnel and policy arrangements) Only 17.4% did not agree, 11.8% did not agree at all and 14.2% did not have an opinion, did not know or refused to answer.
In other words, more than half of Taiwanese adults over the age of 20 agree with the way Tsai Ing-wen handles national affairs, 29% disagree and 28% more agree than in disagreement. You Yinglong said that it shows the way Tsai Ing-wen handles national affairs. He has continued to receive obvious affirmation and support, and right now “he still pretends to be in the spring breeze of the president’s honeymoon period.”
However, You Yinglong believes that three highly controversial issues have emerged recently, which may become a major concern for Tsai Ing-wen’s ability to maintain high public support through the end of the year, including: opening up American pig imports , not seeking to establish diplomatic relations with the United States and Controversy over the withdrawal of the photo by Zhongtian TV.
He said that according to research by American political scholars on the US president’s honeymoon period, the US president’s honeymoon period may be longer or shorter, lasting about seven months in average. If this is the standard, can Tsai Ing-wen continue to maintain a high degree of public support in the next two months, and can she still have the support of the vast majority of people?
You Yinglong believes that Tsai Ing-wen is currently the favorite political figure of Taiwanese people, which seems to come naturally, because from the relevant analysis above, it is understandable that her Chonglong reputation has remained at least 50% since the beginning of 2020 to present. No one can overcome it with the support of five people.
He said that the five politicians behind Tsai Ing-wen, Hou Youyi, Lai Qingde, Ke Wenzhe, Zheng Wencan and Su Zhenchang are people who are considered likely to come out to run for president in 2024, but why is there such a sequence? It is worth repeated scrutiny.
According to a poll of Taiwan’s favorite politicians, 19.7% Tsai Ing-wen, 8.6% Hou Youyi, 7.3% Lai Qingde, 4.8% Ke Wenzhe, 4.8% Cheng Wencan, 3.2 % Su Zhenchang, 2.4% Hankuk Yu, 2.2% Chen Shizhong, 2% Ma Ying-jeou, 21.4% Others (including those around 1% or less), 9.6% dislike them , 26.6% have no comments and 5.4% do not know / refuse to answer.
You Yinglong said that after discounting 41.6% of those who did not express their opinion or have no preference, 58.4% said that at least one political figure is their favorite.
The interview period for this survey is October 19-20, 2020; adults over 20 are nationwide; The sampling method is based on the sampling structure of national residential telephone users, and the sampling is random by systematic sampling and mantissa; The effective sample is 1080 people; the sampling error is plus or minus 2.98 percent below the 95% confidence level.
(During the middle)
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