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Affected by his son’s scandal, Biden’s polls have completely dropped. Image: Screenshot from Biden’s Twitter video
The United States will hold general elections in two weeks. Joe Biden, who held a steady lead, suddenly fell in the polls after his son Hunter Biden’s scandal was revealed. According to the latest poll results previously released by IBD / TIPP, which is known as the most quasi-political poll in the United States, Biden’s current public support has dropped to 48.1%, while Trump’s has risen to 45.8%. The gap between the two parties is only 2.3%, which is already extremely close to the gap (2.1%) in the popular vote in the last general election.
Four years ago, IBD / TIPP was one of the only voting agencies that successfully predicted that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton.
According to IBD / TIPP tracking, Biden also led Trump by 8.6% on the 13th of this month, then fell completely after the exposure of his son Hunter’s mail scandal, falling below 50% the day before yesterday ; Trump is pushing hard. The difference between the two sides was 5.2% the day before yesterday, and today there is only 2.3%.
Biden lost supporters. In addition to benefiting Trump, the support rate for the two candidates, Jo Jorgensen of the Libertarian Party and Howie Hawkins of the Green Party, has also grown, saying he has not made up his mind yet and refused to run. The number of people who will vote has also increased. If Jorgensen from the Libertarian Party and Hawkins from the Green Party are deducted, and only Biden and Trump are compared, the two sides are also between 49% and 46.2%, a gap of only 2.8%.
Since the 12th of this month, Biden’s approval rate has fallen 3.7% and Trump’s approval rate has increased 3.9%. Originally, Biden led Trump by double digits among independent voters, but now only 45% to 41% remain.
In his party, Biden is not as good as Trump. 94% of Republican voters will vote for Trump and 4% for Biden; Democratic voters will vote for Biden with 90% and 7% for Trump.
7% of voters who voted for Trump in 2016 will switch to Biden, and 89% will return to support Trump. 95% of voters who last voted for Hillary Clinton will vote for Biden, and only 3% will change Trump; The last time Trump was supported by suburban voters and older voters, this time Biden belongs to both ethnic groups. Lead. This is where Trump needs to get stronger.
When the gap is extremely small, it is even more important whether supporters on both sides go out to vote or not. Of the voters planning to vote for Trump, 76% said they strongly support him; for those planning to vote for Biden, the proportion that strongly supports him is 68%. 11% of Trump supporters can change their mind in the end, and 9% of Biden supporters can change their mind in the end.
38% are optimistic that Trump will be re-elected, which is more than Biden’s 37%; 50% of respondents believe their neighbors will vote for Trump, and only 34% of those surveyed said their neighbors will vote for Biden.
The United States will hold general elections in two weeks. Joe Biden, who had a steady lead, suddenly fell in the polls after his son Hunter Biden’s scandal was revealed.
According to the latest poll results previously released by IBD / TIPP, which is known as the most quasi-political poll in the United States, Biden’s current public support has dropped to 48.1%, while Trump’s has risen to 45.8%. The gap between the two parties is only 2.3%, which is already extremely close to the gap (2.1%) in the popular vote in the last general election.
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