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International Center / Full Report
This year, Wuhan pneumonia (new corona pneumonia, COVID-19) has spread around the world. China has not only been bombarded by international public opinion for hiding the epidemic, but it has also been subjected to successive sanctions from free world countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom for imposing Hong Kong’s national security laws, and even academics. Chinese. He also admitted that “the external environment has deteriorated a bit recently.” Jin Canrong, a professor at the School of International Relations at Renmin University of China, recently stated thatThe United States and China will enter into a long-term competitive relationship. Also, the people around US President Trump have a lot of hostility towards China. The United States and China “do not rule out the possibility of local military conflicts.”Jin Canrong also analyzedThe United States has “15 cards” to negotiate with China。
▲ Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Trump (combined image / data photo)
The environment between China and the United States is under pressure, said academic Jin Canrong in an online speech on “One Hundred Years of Change and China-US Relations” in the Chinese “Observer” medium.China’s external environment has deteriorated recentlyHe also pointed out the four challenges to the external environment, including the first being the deterioration of Sino-US relations; the second is India taking advantage of Sino-US relations to create problems; the third are some staunch allies of the United States, such as Australia, Japan, Canada and some countries in Eastern Europe. For example, the Czech Republic also did the same to make things difficult for China. Fourth, because the United States has spread the China threat theory and slanders China, some African countries have some dissatisfaction with China. “Of course, the core of these problems is the deterioration of relations between China and the United States.”
Jin Canrong candidly said that China-US relations will enter a longer stage of competition; From a historical perspective, China-US relations have benefited from cooperation and wounded by the fighting. He also noted that since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States on January 1, 1979 to the present 41 In a year and a half, both sides have benefited: “We fought in a war when we did not establish diplomatic relations, and both sides suffered losses”.
Jin Canrong also analyzed that there are 5 reasons why Sino-US relations have worsened. The first is that China and the United States have entered the “great and second contradiction”, which is difficult to handle in international relations; the second is that the mood of the two countries is not right, American populism. The doctrine is on the rise and so is Chinese nationalism. The citizens of the two countries have a bad impression of each other. Third, America has changed. Now there are a lot of internal contradictions, so he has become very anxious. It turns out that the United States is a very trusting and tolerant country. After getting very anxious, he became very selfish, prioritizing the United States and not looking like a great power at all; fourth is that China’s current situation has also changed, its internal complexity is also more restricted, and fifth is now the United States. The governing authorities are relatively bad, “unpredictable”, temperate and emotional.
It is worth noting that Jin Canrong mentioned that in China-US relations, the US has positioned China as its opponent and played many cards to rectify China. In addition to property taxes since the trade war, many other cards have been played, such as technology, and Huawei has also taken care of TikTok.In addition, the United States also played the “financial card” and imposed sanctions on 2,300 Chinese entities. In addition, the “judicial letter” is to catch Meng Wanzhou, and the “letter of public opinion” is to defame and criticize China around the world; US Secretary of State Peng Peo also published the so-called “New Cold War Manifesto” in the Nixon Library, calling China “imperialism.”
Not only these, Jin Canrong pointed out more directly,In addition to 5 charts, the United States has 6 very sensitive charts that involve Chinese sovereignty, including Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Tibet, the East China Sea, and the South China Sea. Pull India is the 12th card; Interrupting the Belt and Road is the 13th card; It is letter number 14 to form an alliance between the United States, Europe and Japan and exclude China from the WTO. Currently, there is a new “Arms Control Negotiations” charter, which requires China to participate in the arms control negotiations between the United States and Russia.
▲ US President Trump (Photo / Flip Facebook)
Jin Canrong emphasized that the general strategy of the United States is to position China as an adversary and “really fight” in action. The nature of China-US relations has changed and the curve of the relationship has fallen.
And is the outside world worried about whether there will be more friction between the United States and China? Jin Canrong claimed that “hot local military wars really can’t be ruled out.” He pointed out that the president of the United States has a lot of power in wars. Since the founding of the country, there have been more than 260 foreign wars. There are only 5 wars approved by Congress. smoothie. Additionally, Trump’s unpredictable personality and the urgent US presidential election can create a crisis and create reelection opportunities. Jin Canrong also said that the people around Trump are very hostile to China; and recently the PLA has conducted and conducted live-fire exercises frequently to demonstrate its capabilities, and it is necessary to prepare in advance.
▲ Xi Jinping, President of China. (Photo / Obtained from the official website of the Central People’s Government of the People’s Republic of China)
