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Political Center / Chen Yourui Report
The situation in the Taiwan Strait has recently heated up, and the CCP has continually deployed military aircraft to invade Taiwan, raising great international concern about the possibility of the CCP invading Taiwan. The head of the US media office “Bloomberg” in Taipei, Ellis (Samson Ellis), reported on the incident yesterday (8), citing Ian Easton, senior director of the Washington think tank “Project 2049 Institute” (Project 2049 Institute)) said: “The Battle of Taiwan will cost Beijing a tragic price, at least hundreds of thousands of casualties,” but the analysis also noted that “this may be the price that Xi Jinping is willing to pay.”
▲ The National Army conducts Hanguang exercises on the coast. (Schematic / Photo data)
Ellis noted that the CCP has threatened to invade Taiwan for more than 70 years. The outside world is concerned that this situation could trigger a war between the United States and China. The current consensus is that Beijing will continue to control Taiwan through military threats, diplomacy and economic means, and the “security” is Taiwan. The most urgent issue. Easton worries that China could invade Taiwan, superpower wars and other crises, and warns that “the next 5 to 10 years will be the most dangerous.”
According to Ellis’s analysis, on the surface, the balance of military power across the straits is beneficial to Beijing. In particular, according to a report by the international group of experts “Stockholm International Peace Research Institute”, China’s military spending is 25 times higher than that of Taiwan; From the perspective of Beijing’s optimism Before the Taiwan invasion war, cyber forces used electronic warfare to attack the US financial system, critical infrastructure, and satellites in Taiwan. At the same time, warships were sent to harass and restrict the supply of fuel, food, and other supplies. Then, they used air strikes to “behead” and annihilate Taiwan’s politics. Military leaders then launched paratroopers to invade the coast of Taiwan, infiltrate, occupy, and establish beachheads.
However, Ellis also mentioned that Taiwan has been preparing for a possible war for decades. It has natural defense lines such as being surrounded by the sea, variable weather and a rugged coastline. It has thousands of surface-to-air missiles and anti-aircraft guns to invade China. The island dealt a heavy blow and, in 2018, it also developed and improved the missile system’s asymmetric capability, strengthened the defense of key intrusion points, and conducted regular exercises. If Beijing chooses to indiscriminately and indiscriminately attack innocent people, it will damage the CCP’s vision of Taiwan as the ultimate goal of a prosperous territory.
Ellis explained that an important key to the CCP’s war of aggression against Taiwan is the United States, and whether the CCP invades Taiwan, leading to a nuclear war confrontation between the United States and China, is largely dependent on the political leaders in Beijing and Washington. Wu Yinong, who served in the Taiwan Special Aviation Department, stressed that “we just need to prepare for the worst.” However, he also admitted that the CCP will no longer wait patiently or try to win the hearts of the people.
Ellis believes that Xi Jinping vigorously defended peaceful reunification last year, declaring that he “will not renounce the use of force” and that he regards the reunification of Taiwan as “a necessary condition for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.” Although the invasion of Taiwan would expose China to enormous risks, Xi Jinping said it would. Taking forceful action against territorial disputes and from disputes in Hong Kong, the South China Sea and Xinjiang, Xi Jinping can be found to have ignored for I complete the international condemnation. Therefore, it is inevitable to worry that “the battle for Taiwan will cost Beijing a tragic price, at least hundreds of thousands of casualties.” But this may be the price Xi Jinping is willing to pay. We underestimate the CCP’s ability to make important decisions. “
